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Kursk vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kursk play Spartak Tambov in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kursk averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Spartak Tambov averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.38 conceded. In past meetings, Kursk won 3, Spartak Tambov won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 4, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Kursk and 1.50 for Spartak Tambov. This points to a Spartak Tambov double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Kursk
30%
Draws
34%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kursk.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Kursk.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Kursk Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 25
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Kursk
0:1
Sep 14, 2022 Russian Cup
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
3:2
Jul 16, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Maloletov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 36 / 100
Spartak Tambov 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk Spartak Tambov

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Spartak Tambov let in goals in 44% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kursk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Tambov lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS Spartak Tambov
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%