Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kursk vs Spartak Tambov

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Sergeev M. M.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Maloletov A.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Kursk
30%
Draws
51%
Spartak Tambov
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kursk haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Tambov are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Kursk have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Kursk Clean Sheet 14%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kursk Spartak Tambov
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 21
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
0:2
Nov 13, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Kursk
0:1
Sep 14, 2022 Russian Cup
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
3:2
Jul 16, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Kursk vs Spartak Tambov
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kursk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Maloletov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kursk 10 / 100
Spartak Tambov 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kursk Spartak Tambov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kursk found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Kursk went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Spartak Tambov conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kursk VS Spartak Tambov
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kursk

(Home)
26 Sept
Kursk
1 : 1
R. Volgograd 2
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
Page 1 of 6

Spartak Tambov

(Away)
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
29 Aug
Spartak Tambov
3 : 1
M. Lipetsk
Page 1 of 6