Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kustosija vs Bijelo Brdo

Croatia Croatia

Croatian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Ihejiofor C.
Own Goal
62' Event
Resetar D.
71' Event
Retyi R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Kustosija
20%
Draws
65%
Bijelo Brdo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bijelo Brdo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Kustosija have won more games recently than Bijelo Brdo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Kustosija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bijelo Brdo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Kustosija Clean Sheet 20%
Bijelo Brdo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kustosija Bijelo Brdo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Croatian Cup
Kustosija vs Bijelo Brdo
1:2
May 13, 2023 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Kustosija
1:0
Mar 18, 2023 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Kustosija
0:1
Oct 22, 2022 Prva NL
Kustosija vs Bijelo Brdo
5:2
May 22, 2022 Prva NL
Bijelo Brdo vs Kustosija
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kustosija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bijelo Brdo Compare

Top Goalscorer Resetar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retyi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kustosija 36 / 100
Bijelo Brdo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kustosija Bijelo Brdo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bijelo Brdo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Kustosija found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Bijelo Brdo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Kustosija remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kustosija VS Bijelo Brdo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kustosija

(Home)
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
12 Sept
Cibalia
0 : 0
Kustosija
06 Sept
Kustosija
0 : 1
Dinamo Zagreb 2
02 Sept
Segesta
0 : 0
Kustosija
30 Aug
Kustosija
1 : 2
Mladost Zdralovi
Page 1 of 6

Bijelo Brdo

(Away)
19 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 2
Hrvace
16 Sept
Kustosija
1 : 2
Bijelo Brdo
11 Sept
Opatija
2 : 3
Bijelo Brdo
06 Sept
Bijelo Brdo
1 : 0
Jadran Luka Ploce
02 Sept
Croatia Zmijavci
1 : 0
Bijelo Brdo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Bjelovar -
TBD -
Tigar Sveta Nedelja 1
Karlovac 4
Vrbovec 4
Daruvar 1
TBD -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 4
NK Radnicki Dalj 1
TBD -
Cibalia -
Varteks Varazdin (2011) 2
Bedem Ivankovo 3
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega 3
Moslavina 0
TBD -
Oriolik -
Vardarac Vardaroc 3
Liznjan 1
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Orijent 3
Radnik Krizevci 1
TBD -
Mladost Zdralovi -
NK Dinamo Predavac 0
Dragovoljac 2
TBD -
Slaven Belupo -
Kustosija 3
HNK Zadar 1
TBD -
Bijelo Brdo -
Uskok Klis 3
Podravina Ludbreg 0
TBD -
HNK Gorica -
NK Svacic Stari Slatnik 2
NK Koprivnica 3
TBD -
Rudes -
Slatina 0
Segesta 18
TBD -
Osijek -
Zagora 4
Bratstvo Jurovec 2
TBD -
Varazdin -
Tomislav DA 4
Uljanik Pula 0
TBD -
Lok. Zagreb -
Granicar Kotoriba 1
Zagorec Krapina 2
TBD -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva 5
Otocac 2
TBD -
TBD -
1/16-finals
Bjelovar 0
Karlovac 2
Vrbovec 0
Rijeka 6
Vukovar 1991 1
Cibalia 0
Bedem Ivankovo 0
Din. Zagreb 4
Slavonija Pozega 4
Oriolik 0
Vardarac Vardaroc 0
Hajduk Split 2
Orijent 2
Mladost Zdralovi 3
Dragovoljac 0
Slaven Belupo 5
Kustosija 1
Bijelo Brdo 2
Uskok Klis 1
HNK Gorica 3
NK Koprivnica 2
Rudes 3
Segesta 3
Osijek 1
Zagora 0
Varazdin 4
Tomislav DA 0
Lok. Zagreb 2
Zagorec Krapina 0
Istra 1961 5
Neretva -
TBD -
1/8-finals
Karlovac -
Rijeka -
Vukovar 1991 -
Din. Zagreb -
Slavonija Pozega -
Hajduk Split -
Mladost Zdralovi -
Slaven Belupo -
Bijelo Brdo -
HNK Gorica -
Rudes -
Segesta -
Varazdin -
Lok. Zagreb -
Istra 1961 -
Neretva -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -