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Kutno vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Krasniewski M.
72' Event
Kania I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Kutno
15%
Draws
0%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kutno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz haven't matched Kutno's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Kutno taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Kutno Clean Sheet 10%
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kutno Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 7 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 28
Goals Scored 1.54 0.84
Goals Conceded 2.64 2.71
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:1
Oct 13, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Kutno
1:1
Jul 11, 2021 Club Friendly
Kutno vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:2
Apr 10, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1:0
Nov 21, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz vs Kutno
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniewski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.24

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz Compare

Top Goalscorer Kania I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kutno 83 / 100
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kutno Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kutno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kutno found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Kutno VS Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
2.33 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kutno

(Home)
01 Aug
Wisla Dobrzyn
8 : 4
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
22 Feb
Kutno
1 : 6
Tluchowo
25 Jan
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Kutno
13 Jul
Kutno
3 : 2
Plock II
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Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz

(Away)
25 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
23 Jul
Widzew Lodz
9 : 1
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
07 Jun
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
30 May
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
4 : 2
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
24 May
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
1 : 4
Unia Skierniewice
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 36 26 3 7 80:27 81
2 Legionowo 36 24 8 4 76:39 80
3 Swit Mazowiecki 36 17 8 11 58:46 59
4 Legia II 36 16 10 10 77:55 58
5 Blonianka Blonie 36 17 6 13 61:62 57
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 36 16 8 12 63:48 56
7 LKS Lodz II 36 15 9 12 63:52 54
8 Ursus Warszawa 36 15 8 13 53:63 53
9 Jagiellonia II 36 16 4 16 66:58 52
10 Bron Radom 36 15 6 15 48:55 51
11 Unia Skierniewice 36 15 4 17 60:58 49
12 Pelikan 36 12 10 14 57:46 46
13 Pilica Bialobrzegi 36 13 6 17 57:72 45
14 Kutno 36 11 10 15 49:64 43
15 Mamry Gizycko 36 13 3 20 43:68 42
16 GKS Wikielec 36 10 12 14 42:53 42
17 Znicz Biala Piska 36 12 6 18 55:69 42
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 36 5 10 21 36:64 25
19 Wissa Szczuczyn 36 4 9 23 28:73 21
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)