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Kutno vs Unia Skierniewice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Wasniowski K.
25' Event
Niedzielski K.
33' Event
Kacela M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2021/2022 game between Kutno and Unia Skierniewice finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Unia Skierniewice.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kutno
15%
Draws
34%
Unia Skierniewice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kutno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Unia Skierniewice carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Unia Skierniewice are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Unia Skierniewice have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Kutno Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Skierniewice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kutno Unia Skierniewice
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.54 1.61
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Unia Skierniewice
2:3
Sep 8, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Kutno
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Unia Skierniewice vs Kutno
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Kacela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Skawinski W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Unia Skierniewice Compare

Top Goalscorer Wasniowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Niedzielski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kutno 22 / 100
Unia Skierniewice 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kutno Unia Skierniewice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unia Skierniewice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Kutno found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Unia Skierniewice has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Unia Skierniewice lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kutno VS Unia Skierniewice
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kutno

(Home)
01 Aug
Wisla Dobrzyn
8 : 4
Kutno
25 Jul
Pelikan
1 : 3
Kutno
22 Feb
Kutno
1 : 6
Tluchowo
25 Jan
MKS Mlawa
3 : 0
Kutno
13 Jul
Kutno
3 : 2
Plock II
Page 1 of 6

Unia Skierniewice

(Away)
02 Oct
Wisla Plock
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
20 Sept
Podbeskidzie
1 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
07 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 1
Unia Skierniewice
28 Aug
Unia Skierniewice
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Warszawa 36 26 3 7 80:27 81
2 Legionowo 36 24 8 4 76:39 80
3 Swit Mazowiecki 36 17 8 11 58:46 59
4 Legia II 36 16 10 10 77:55 58
5 Blonianka Blonie 36 17 6 13 61:62 57
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 36 16 8 12 63:48 56
7 LKS Lodz II 36 15 9 12 63:52 54
8 Ursus Warszawa 36 15 8 13 53:63 53
9 Jagiellonia II 36 16 4 16 66:58 52
10 Bron Radom 36 15 6 15 48:55 51
11 Unia Skierniewice 36 15 4 17 60:58 49
12 Pelikan 36 12 10 14 57:46 46
13 Pilica Bialobrzegi 36 13 6 17 57:72 45
14 Kutno 36 11 10 15 49:64 43
15 Mamry Gizycko 36 13 3 20 43:68 42
16 GKS Wikielec 36 10 12 14 42:53 42
17 Znicz Biala Piska 36 12 6 18 55:69 42
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 36 5 10 21 36:64 25
19 Wissa Szczuczyn 36 4 9 23 28:73 21
Promotion - Division 2 2022/2023 (Main)