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Kutno vs Znicz Biala Piska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kutno play Znicz Biala Piska in the III Liga - Group I 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kutno averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2.39 conceded. Znicz Biala Piska averaged 0.94 goals scored and 2.79 conceded. In past meetings, Kutno won 0, Znicz Biala Piska won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 1, 2022 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.79 for Kutno and 0.74 for Znicz Biala Piska. This points to a Kutno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Kutno
21%
Draws
35%
Znicz Biala Piska
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Kutno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Kutno picked up more points recently compared to Znicz Biala Piska.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.79 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Kutno Clean Sheet 27%
Znicz Biala Piska Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kutno Znicz Biala Piska
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.39 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.39 2.79

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Znicz Biala Piska
2:4
Oct 30, 2021 III Liga - Group I
Znicz Biala Piska vs Kutno
1:1
Nov 28, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Kutno vs Znicz Biala Piska
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kutno Compare

Top Goalscorer Kacela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cudowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Znicz Biala Piska Compare

Top Goalscorer Famulak M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fiedorowicz M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kutno 45 / 100
Znicz Biala Piska 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kutno Znicz Biala Piska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kutno or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kutno attacking → ← attacking Znicz Biala Piska

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kutno scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Znicz Biala Piska let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Kutno went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Znicz Biala Piska lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 22
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Polonia Warszawa36263780:2781
2Legionowo36248476:3980
3Swit Mazowiecki361781158:4659
4Legia II3616101077:5558
5Blonianka Blonie361761361:6257
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki361681263:4856
7LKS Lodz II361591263:5254
8Ursus Warszawa361581353:6353
9Jagiellonia II361641666:5852
10Bron Radom361561548:5551
11Unia Skierniewice361541760:5849
12Pelikan3612101457:4646
13Pilica Bialobrzegi361361757:7245
14Kutno3611101549:6443
15Mamry Gizycko361332043:6842
16GKS Wikielec3610121442:5342
17Znicz Biala Piska361261855:6942
18Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz365102136:6425
19Wissa Szczuczyn36492328:7321