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Kuwait vs Lebanon

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Tue, Sep 2, 2025
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kuwait host Lebanon in the Friendly International 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Lebanon have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Kuwait have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.12. Past meetings favor Lebanon slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.97 vs 1.40, favoring Lebanon. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kuwait
20%
Draws
51%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kuwait haven't matched Lebanon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lebanon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Kuwait Clean Sheet 17%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuwait Lebanon
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.12 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.84 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:2
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:2
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
2:0
Mar 29, 2021 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuwait 10 / 100
Lebanon 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuwait Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuwait scored in 72% of their last 25 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Kuwait went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lebanon conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kuwait VS Lebanon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuwait

(Home)
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
06 Dec
Kuwait
1 : 3
Jordan
02 Dec
Egypt
1 : 1
Kuwait
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
14 Oct
Bhutan
0 : 4
Lebanon
09 Oct
Lebanon
2 : 0
Bhutan
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