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Kuwait vs Lebanon Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium, Surabaya
Tue, Sep 2, 2025
VS
12:30 PM
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AI Match Summary

Kuwait host Lebanon in the Friendly International 2025. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Lebanon have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Kuwait have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor Lebanon slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 2, 2025, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.95, favoring Lebanon. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Kuwait
15%
Draws
73%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lebanon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Kuwait haven't matched Lebanon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lebanon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Kuwait Clean Sheet 10%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kuwait Lebanon
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 3 13
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.08 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.95
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2025 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
0:2
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:2
Nov 19, 2022 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
2:0
Mar 29, 2021 Friendly International
Kuwait vs Lebanon
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kuwait 10 / 100
Lebanon 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kuwait Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuwait scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Lebanon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Lebanon conceded in 46% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kuwait VS Lebanon
1.63 Goals Scored 2.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Kuwait

(Home)
29 Sept
Oman
3 : 1
Kuwait
26 Sept
Kuwait
2 : 3
Iraq
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
18 Sept
Kuwait
1 : 2
Yemen
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Oct
Kyrgyzstan
3 : 1
Lebanon
01 Oct
Maldives
0 : 6
Lebanon
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
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