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Kvarnsvedens W vs Vasteras BK 30 W

Sweden Sweden

Elitettan Women 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kvarnsvedens W play Vasteras BK 30 W in the Elitettan Women 2018. Kvarnsvedens W are favorites here. Recently, Kvarnsvedens W averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.82 conceded. Vasteras BK 30 W averaged 1.52 goals scored and 3.22 conceded. In past meetings, Kvarnsvedens W won 4, Vasteras BK 30 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 8, 2020 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.33 for Kvarnsvedens W and 2.58 for Vasteras BK 30 W. This points to a Kvarnsvedens W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Kvarnsvedens W
15%
Draws
25%
Vasteras BK 30 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kvarnsvedens W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Kvarnsvedens W picked up more points recently compared to Vasteras BK 30 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.33 vs 2.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Kvarnsvedens W Clean Sheet 10%
Vasteras BK 30 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kvarnsvedens W Vasteras BK 30 W
Matches Played 39 27
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 1
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.41 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.82 3.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 3.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2020 Svenska Cupen Women
Vasteras BK 30 W vs Kvarnsvedens W
3:0
Sep 29, 2018 Elitettan Women
Kvarnsvedens W vs Vasteras BK 30 W
6:0
Jun 16, 2018 Elitettan Women
Vasteras BK 30 W vs Kvarnsvedens W
1:3
Jun 27, 2012 Elitettan Women
Kvarnsvedens W vs Vasteras BK 30 W
5:2
Jun 9, 2012 Elitettan Women
Vasteras BK 30 W vs Kvarnsvedens W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kvarnsvedens W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dahlstrom A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Chawinga T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vasteras BK 30 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.18
Avg xA / game 1.33

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kvarnsvedens W 56 / 100
Vasteras BK 30 W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kvarnsvedens W Vasteras BK 30 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kvarnsvedens W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Kvarnsvedens W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.2%
1.32
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kvarnsvedens W attacking → ← attacking Vasteras BK 30 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kvarnsvedens W scored in 67% of their last 39 games.

Vasteras BK 30 W let in goals in 93% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Kvarnsvedens W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vasteras BK 30 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 16
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.40
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.40

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kungsbacka W26178157:2659
2KIF Orebro W26167360:2355
3Lidkoping W26165573:3253
4Kvarnsvedens W26154761:2949
5Assi W26136744:2845
6Mallbacken W261141140:4637
7Sundsvall W261211340:5637
8IK Uppsala Fotboll W261041239:4134
9AIK W2689947:4533
10Umea W26881038:4332
11Asarum W26681235:4726
12Ljusdals W265101136:4825
13Vasteras BK 30 W26341927:7413
14Boljan W2606209:686