Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kwara vs Bendel

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL Kwara Sports Stadium, Ilorin
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Akpan E.
55'
Sub
Alao M. In: Gata A.
Out: Alao M.
55'
Sub
Gidado T. In: Salisu M.
Out: Gidado T.

AI Match Summary

Bendel in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Kwara
39%
Draws
30%
Bendel
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Kwara haven't matched Bendel's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bendel have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Kwara Clean Sheet 20%
Bendel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kwara Bendel
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Kwara
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Kwara
3:1
Apr 7, 2024 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kwara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Akpan E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kwara 32 / 100
Bendel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kwara Bendel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Kwara remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Kwara found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Bendel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Kwara VS Bendel
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kwara

(Home)
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1
Sokoto United
24 May
Bayelsa United
4 : 0
Kwara
10 May
Kwara
2 : 0
Enyimba International
03 May
Niger Tornadoes
2 : 2
Kwara
19 Apr
Kwara
2 : 1
Barau
Page 1 of 6

Bendel

(Away)
06 Jun
Bendel
3 : 4
El Kanemi Warriors
01 Jun
Bendel
3 : 1
Crown FC
24 May
Bendel
1 : 1
Remo Stars
10 May
Rangers International
2 : 1
Bendel
04 May
Bendel
1 : 0
Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rangers International381911847:2768
2Rivers United381910944:3167
3Shooting381861441:4060
4Ikorodu City3816101243:3958
5Bendel3814141044:3856
6Nasarawa United381681437:3456
7Abia Warriors381671531:3455
8Barau3813131234:3052
9Katsina Utd3814101436:3952
10Plateau United381551839:4050
11Enyimba International3813101544:4249
12Kun Khalifa3813101542:4049
13Warri Wolves3813101536:4149
14Niger Tornadoes381391637:3648
15Kano Pillars381561734:3948
16Kwara3813111432:3647
17Remo Stars381451942:4747
18El Kanemi Warriors381381727:4647
19Bayelsa United3811101737:4243
20Wikki Tourists389131636:4840
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)