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Kwara vs Bendel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPFL game between Kwara and Bendel finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bendel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Kwara
20%
Draws
51%
Bendel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kwara haven't matched Bendel's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Bendel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bendel have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Kwara Clean Sheet 17%
Bendel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kwara Bendel
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
0:1
Dec 27, 2025 NPFL
Bendel vs Kwara
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 NPFL
Kwara vs Bendel
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 NPFL
Bendel vs Kwara
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kwara 23 / 100
Bendel 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kwara Bendel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kwara scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Bendel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Kwara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kwara VS Bendel
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kwara

(Home)
01 Nov
Kwara
1 : 2
Bendel
25 Oct
Barau
1 : 1
Kwara
17 Oct
Kwara
1 : 1
Abia Warriors
10 Oct
Ikorodu City
2 : 0
Kwara
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1
Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 6

Bendel

(Away)
01 Nov
Kwara
1 : 2
Bendel
25 Oct
Bendel
2 : 1
Rivers United
11 Oct
Sporting Lagos
2 : 1
Bendel
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
27 Sept
Abia Warriors
3 : 0
Bendel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rivers United 11 4 6 1 15:5 18
2 Rangers International 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
3 Bendel 10 6 0 4 18:15 18
4 Kano Pillars 11 4 6 1 14:11 18
5 Nasarawa United 11 5 2 4 11:10 17
6 Plateau United 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Barau 11 3 7 1 13:10 16
8 Niger Tornadoes 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
9 Katsina Utd 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
10 Shooting 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
11 Sporting Lagos 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
12 Doma United 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
13 Ikorodu City 11 3 5 3 15:13 14
14 Warri Wolves 11 3 4 4 7:8 13
15 Kwara 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
16 Kun Khalifa 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
17 Enyimba International 11 3 2 6 12:15 11
18 Abia Warriors 11 2 4 5 10:17 10
19 Ranchers Bees 10 2 3 5 11:14 9
20 Inter Lagos 11 1 3 7 6:20 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)