Sport Picks
Kwara vs Ranchers Bees - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Nigeria
NPFL 
Match Events
7'
7'
Yusuf J.
53'
53'
Gidado T.
75'
75'
Faisal S.
AI Match Summary
The NPFL game between Kwara and Ranchers Bees finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kwara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kwara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kwara come out ahead of Ranchers Bees on wins alone.
- Kwara are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Kwara have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Kwara Clean Sheet 68%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kwara | Ranchers Bees |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 NPFL
Kwara vs Ranchers Bees
2:1
Jun 13, 2010 NPFL
Kwara vs Ranchers Bees
6:0
Jan 27, 2010 NPFL
Ranchers Bees vs Kwara
2:0
Jul 30, 2006 NPFL
Ranchers Bees vs Kwara
0:1
May 20, 2006 NPFL
Kwara vs Ranchers Bees
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Kwara Compare
Top Goalscorer Gidado T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chukwu G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Ranchers Bees Compare
Top Goalscorer Yusuf J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kwara 86 / 100
Ranchers Bees 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kwara Ranchers Bees
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kwara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ranchers Bees's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Kwara went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ranchers Bees lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Kwara VS Ranchers Bees
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Kwara
(Home) 04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1 Ranchers Bees
27 Sept
Kun Khalifa
1 : 0 Kwara
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
20 Sept
Warri Wolves
1 : 0 Kwara
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1 Ranchers Bees
23 Sept
Kwara
2 : 1 Nasarawa United
13 Sept
Kwara
3 : 0 Katsina Utd
30 Aug
Kwara
2 : 2 Kano Pillars
01 Jun
Kwara
0 : 1 Sokoto United
Page 1 of 4
Ranchers Bees
(Away) 04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1 Ranchers Bees
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0 Rivers United
23 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 0 Ranchers Bees
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1 Bendel
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1 Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1 Ranchers Bees
23 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 0 Ranchers Bees
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1 Ranchers Bees
30 Aug
Ikorodu City
3 : 1 Ranchers Bees
08 May
Doma United
1 : 3 Ranchers Bees
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rangers International | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 2 | Rivers United | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Doma United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 13 |
| 4 | Barau | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Bendel | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Katsina Utd | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Kano Pillars | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | Plateau United | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Kwara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Ikorodu City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 9 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 13 | Shooting | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Nasarawa United | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 15 | Abia Warriors | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 16 | Ranchers Bees | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Enyimba International | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3:6 | 7 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 20 | Kun Khalifa | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | 5 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
