Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Nakamura S.
Assist: Higashi S.
36'
Henrique Trevisan
46'
Sub
Matsuda T. In: Honda F.
Out: Matsuda T.

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Kyoto
11%
Draws
80%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Kyoto.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 3 1
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:4
Feb 27, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzuki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kyoto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kashima Antlers18150331:1145
2FC Tokyo18130532:1837
3Machida Zelvia18130528:2237
4Kawasaki Frontale18100826:2828
5Verdy18100822:2628
6Urawa Reds18701125:2225
7Yokohama F. Marinos18601228:3120
8Kashiwa Reysol18701122:2420
9Mito18601223:3918
10Chiba18301518:3412
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe18110729:2535
2Cerezo Osaka18110730:2131
3Nagoya Grampus18100833:3131
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima18100831:2330
5Gamba Osaka18100831:2528
6Okayama18801026:2926
7Shimizu S-Pulse18801023:2524
8Kyoto18801022:2823
9V-Varen Nagasaki18701121:2921
10Avispa Fukuoka18701121:3121