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Stadium Background

Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka
Kyoto Logo

Kyoto

0 - 4
FT
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Logo

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Nakamura S.
Assist: Higashi S.
36'
Henrique Trevisan
46'
Sub
Matsuda T. In: Honda F.
Out: Matsuda T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Kyoto
15%
Draws
53%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Kyoto.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyoto Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 18
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.33 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J1 League
Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:4
Feb 27, 2026 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
1:2
Sep 12, 2025 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 J1 League
Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suzuki A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 10 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyoto Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kyoto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)
23 Sept
Kyoto
1 : 0
Fujieda MYFC
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
11 Sept
Kyoto
2 : 3
Kashiwa Reysol
06 Sept
FC Tokyo
2 : 0
Kyoto
Page 1 of 6

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)
19 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Gamba Osaka
0 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)