Sport Picks

Japan

J1 League 2026 Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto

0 - 4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Our Tip

Match Events

29'

Nakamura S.

Assist: Higashi S.

36'

Henrique Trevisan

46'

Sub

Matsuda T. In: Honda F.

Out: Matsuda T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Kyoto

Draws

90%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima lately — more wins on the board than Kyoto.
90% — that's where the model lands on Sanfrecce Hiroshima taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

Kyoto Clean Sheet 10%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kyoto	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	17
Draws	3	1
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 J1 League

Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0:4

Feb 27, 2026 J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto

1:2

Sep 12, 2025 J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto

1:1

Mar 29, 2025 J1 League

Kyoto vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1:0

Nov 3, 2024 J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyoto Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakamura S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Suzuki A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyoto 10 / 100

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kyoto Sanfrecce Hiroshima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyoto's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Kyoto stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyoto VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38

75% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyoto

(Home)

17 Jul

Kyoto

1 : 4

Shonan Bellmare

06 Jun

Kashiwa Reysol

0 : 1

Kyoto

30 May

Kyoto

2 : 6

Kashiwa Reysol

23 May

Kyoto

1 : 0

V-Varen Nagasaki

17 May

Kyoto

0 : 4

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

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Sanfrecce Hiroshima

(Away)

14 Jul

Slaven Belupo

1 : 3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

11 Jul

Sturm Graz

5 : 1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

06 Jun

Kawasaki Frontale

0 : 1

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

30 May

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2 : 1

Kawasaki Frontale

23 May

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4 : 2

Nagoya Grampus

Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	18	15	3	31:11	45
2	FC Tokyo	18	13	5	32:18	37
3	Machida Zelvia	18	13	5	28:22	37
4	Kawasaki Frontale	18	10	8	26:28	28
5	Verdy	18	10	8	22:26	28
6	Urawa Reds	18	7	11	25:22	25
7	Yokohama F. Marinos	18	6	12	28:31	20
8	Kashiwa Reysol	18	7	11	22:24	20
9	Mito	18	6	12	23:39	18
10	Chiba	18	3	15	18:34	12

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League Standings (Group 2)

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	11	7	29:25	35
2	Cerezo Osaka	18	11	7	30:21	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	10	8	33:31	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	10	8	31:23	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	10	8	31:25	28
6	Okayama	18	8	10	26:29	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	8	10	23:25	24
8	Kyoto	18	8	10	22:28	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	7	11	21:29	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	7	11	21:31	21

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)

Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)