Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Vietnam U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Khuat Van Khang
(Penalty)
32'
Sub
Madanov Y. In: Zhenishbekov B.
Out: Madanov Y.
44' Event
Murzakhmatov M.
Assist: Zhenishbekov B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Kyrgyzstan U23
20%
Draws
29%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyrgyzstan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vietnam U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Kyrgyzstan U23's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Vietnam U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Vietnam U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Kyrgyzstan U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Vietnam U23
1:2
Mar 28, 2023 Friendly International
Vietnam U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
0:1
Sep 22, 2014 Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Murzakhmatov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Vietnam U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan U23 59 / 100
Vietnam U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyrgyzstan U23's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Vietnam U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Kyrgyzstan U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan U23 VS Vietnam U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan U23

(Home)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
South Korea U23
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 7

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Saudi Arabia U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Syria U23 3 1 1 1 2:6 4
4 Qatar U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 South Korea U23 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Iran U23 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 China U23 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Iraq U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Thailand U23 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 (Play Offs)