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Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Dolen Omurzakov Stadium, Bishkek
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
19' Event
Abdurakhmanov O.
26'

AI Match Summary

Kyrgyzstan in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyrgyzstan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kyrgyzstan
20%
Draws
34%
Lebanon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyrgyzstan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Lebanon have won more games recently than Kyrgyzstan.
  • Model gives Kyrgyzstan a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kyrgyzstan Clean Sheet 16%
Lebanon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyrgyzstan Lebanon
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2016 Friendly International
Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon
0:0
Aug 25, 2009 Friendly International
Kyrgyzstan vs Lebanon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyrgyzstan Compare

Top Goalscorer Shukurov A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdurakhmanov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Lebanon Compare

Top Goalscorer Budib P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyrgyzstan 41 / 100
Lebanon 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyrgyzstan Lebanon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyrgyzstan found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Kyrgyzstan has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lebanon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lebanon has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Kyrgyzstan VS Lebanon
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyrgyzstan

(Home)
04 Oct
Kyrgyzstan
3 : 1
Lebanon
28 Sept
Kyrgyzstan
5 : 0
Maldives
09 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan
0 : 0
Palestine
28 Mar
Kyrgyzstan
2 : 5
Madagascar
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Lebanon

(Away)
04 Oct
Kyrgyzstan
3 : 1
Lebanon
01 Oct
Maldives
0 : 6
Lebanon
04 Jun
Lebanon
0 : 2
Yemen
26 Nov
Sudan
2 : 1
Lebanon
18 Nov
Brunei
0 : 3
Lebanon
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