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Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Kyustendil and Botev Ihtiman finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Kyustendil
6%
Draws
90%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyustendil carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Botev Ihtiman are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 18%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kyustendil
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
4:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Kyustendil
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Botev Ihtiman
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 10 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Botev Ihtiman

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IHT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Kyustendil's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Botev Ihtiman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Kyustendil stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Botev Ihtiman
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238