Sport Picks
Kyustendil vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Kyustendil in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyustendil.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oborishte Panagyurishte
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oborishte Panagyurishte lately — more wins on the board than Kyustendil.
- Oborishte Panagyurishte are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%
Oborishte Panagyurishte Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Kyustendil | Oborishte Panagyurishte |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kyustendil
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kyustendil
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Oborishte Panagyurishte
2:1
May 8, 2024 Third League - South-West
Oborishte Panagyurishte vs Kyustendil
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Kyustendil 10 / 100
Oborishte Panagyurishte 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Kyustendil Oborishte Panagyurishte
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oborishte Panagyurishte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Kyustendil scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Oborishte Panagyurishte let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Kyustendil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Kyustendil VS Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Kyustendil
(Home) 05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1 Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 1 Kyustendil
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1 Chavdar Etropole
15 Aug
Kyustendil
0 : 1 Balkan Botevgrad
01 Aug
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Slivnishki Geroy
23 May
Kyustendil
0 : 0 Slivnishki Geroy
09 May
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Oborishte Panagyurishte
(Away) 05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
29 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
0 : 0 Minyor Pernik
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
15 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 1 Natsional Sofia
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bansko
0 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
22 Aug
Pirin Razlog
2 : 4 Oborishte Panagyurishte
08 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
23 May
Slavia Sofia 2
1 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
09 May
Kyustendil
2 : 1 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
