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Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyustendil host Strumska Slava in the Third League - South-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Kyustendil at 1.17 goals for, 1.5 against; Strumska Slava at 1.86 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Kyustendil have won 1 to Strumska Slava's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.88, favoring Strumska Slava. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Kyustendil
15%
Draws
51%
Strumska Slava
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strumska Slava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Kyustendil haven't matched Strumska Slava's recent run of results.
  • Strumska Slava are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Kyustendil Clean Sheet 10%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyustendil Strumska Slava
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Kyustendil
3:1
Sep 17, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kyustendil vs Strumska Slava
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyustendil 26 / 100
Strumska Slava 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyustendil Strumska Slava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Kyustendil scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Strumska Slava let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Away concern: Strumska Slava has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyustendil VS Strumska Slava
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyustendil

(Home)
26 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 3
Bansko
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Natsional Sofia
1 : 1
Kyustendil
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
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Strumska Slava

(Away)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2
Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0
Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2
Strumska Slava
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