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Kyzyltash vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kabisov S.
19' Event
Morgunov A.
37' Event
Asadov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 game between Kyzyltash and Nart Cherkessk finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kyzyltash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Kyzyltash
15%
Draws
39%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyzyltash

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Kyzyltash carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Kyzyltash a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Kyzyltash Clean Sheet 15%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzyltash Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Kyzyltash vs Nart Cherkessk
3:2
Jul 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Kyzyltash
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzyltash Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabisov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgunov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yartsev A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ositsin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzyltash 57 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzyltash Nart Cherkessk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyzyltash Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzyltash found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Kyzyltash went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Nart Cherkessk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Kyzyltash VS Nart Cherkessk
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyzyltash

(Home)
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Maykop
1 : 1
Kyzyltash
15 Aug
Kyzyltash
1 : 4
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
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Nart Cherkessk

(Away)
19 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
3 : 0
Angust Nazran
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
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