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Kyzyltash vs Rubin Yalta

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Zabun A.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Morgunov A.

AI Match Summary

Kyzyltash in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzyltash.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Kyzyltash
15%
Draws
48%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rubin Yalta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Kyzyltash have won more games recently than Rubin Yalta.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Kyzyltash Clean Sheet 13%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzyltash Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Kyzyltash vs Rubin Yalta
2:0
May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Kyzyltash
5:2
May 13, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Rubin Yalta vs Kyzyltash
3:1
Mar 25, 2023 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs Rubin Yalta
2:1
Nov 26, 2022 Premier League (Crimea)
Kyzyltash vs Rubin Yalta
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzyltash Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgunov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rubin Yalta Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzyltash 30 / 100
Rubin Yalta 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzyltash Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyzyltash Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Kyzyltash scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Rubin Yalta has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Kyzyltash stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzyltash VS Rubin Yalta
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyzyltash

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
3 : 1
Kyzyltash
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
Kyzyltash
3 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
22 Aug
Maykop
1 : 1
Kyzyltash
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
22 Aug
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
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