Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2013

Kyzylzhar

2 - 1

Gefest Karagandy

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzylzhar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Kyzylzhar

Draws

Gefest Karagandy

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kyzylzhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Kyzylzhar have won more games recently than Gefest Karagandy.
Kyzylzhar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Kyzylzhar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%

Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 20%

Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kyzylzhar	Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	5	3
Losses	16	20
Goals Scored	1.38	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2014 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Kyzylzhar

Possession: 48% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

May 18, 2014 First League

Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 52% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

2:3

Aug 7, 2013 First League

Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

2:1

Jul 6, 2013 First League

Gefest Karagandy vs Kyzylzhar

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sep 14, 2011 First League

Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 85 / 100

Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kyzylzhar Gefest Karagandy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KYZ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Gefest Karagandy registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Kyzylzhar's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	23	8	3	77:20	74
2	Spartak Semey	34	21	7	6	54:24	70
3	Okzhetpes	34	20	7	7	51:27	67
4	Kyzylzhar	34	20	5	9	52:35	65
5	Kaspij Aktau	34	19	8	7	55:31	65
6	Ile-Saulet	34	19	8	7	66:32	65
7	Zhenis	34	15	13	6	51:37	58
8	FK Kyran	34	16	7	11	53:39	55
9	Sunkar	34	16	9	9	48:33	48
10	Ak Bulak	34	14	6	14	49:39	48
11	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	8	14	37:46	44
12	FC Ekibastuz	34	9	13	12	34:36	40
13	Shakhtar Bulat	34	7	9	18	28:42	30
14	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	5	9	20	28:57	24
15	Bayterek Astana	34	8	5	21	32:67	23
16	Maqtaaral	34	5	7	22	29:62	22
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	4	25	29:79	19
18	Shymkent	34	2	7	25	27:94	13