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Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar in this First Division 2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzylzhar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Kyzylzhar
20%
Draws
0%
Gefest Karagandy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kyzylzhar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Kyzylzhar have won more games recently than Gefest Karagandy.
  • Kyzylzhar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Kyzylzhar have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 15%
Gefest Karagandy Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar Gefest Karagandy
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 20
Goals Scored 1.1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.48 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2014 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Kyzylzhar
0:3
May 18, 2014 First League
Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy
2:3
Aug 7, 2013 First League
Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy
2:1
Jul 6, 2013 First League
Gefest Karagandy vs Kyzylzhar
0:1
Sep 14, 2011 First League
Kyzylzhar vs Gefest Karagandy
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 84 / 100
Gefest Karagandy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar Gefest Karagandy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyzylzhar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gefest Karagandy let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Gefest Karagandy registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Kyzylzhar's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Kyzylzhar

(Home)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
05 Sept
Kyzylzhar
0 : 1
Atyrau
29 Aug
Ordabasy
3 : 0
Kyzylzhar
16 Aug
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
FC Astana
Page 1 of 7

Gefest Karagandy

(Away)
08 Nov
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Bayterek Astana
02 Nov
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
25 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Maqtaaral
19 Oct
FK Kyran
3 : 0
Gefest Karagandy
11 Oct
Gefest Karagandy
0 : 3
Akzhayik Uralsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaisar Kyzylorda 34 23 8 3 77:20 74
2 Spartak Semey 34 21 7 6 54:24 70
3 Okzhetpes 34 20 7 7 51:27 67
4 Kyzylzhar 34 20 5 9 52:35 65
5 Kaspij Aktau 34 19 8 7 55:31 65
6 Ile-Saulet 34 19 8 7 66:32 65
7 Zhenis 34 15 13 6 51:37 58
8 FK Kyran 34 16 7 11 53:39 55
9 Sunkar 34 16 9 9 48:33 48
10 Ak Bulak 34 14 6 14 49:39 48
11 Gefest Karagandy 34 12 8 14 37:46 44
12 FC Ekibastuz 34 9 13 12 34:36 40
13 Shakhtar Bulat 34 7 9 18 28:42 30
14 Taraz-Karatau 2 34 5 9 20 28:57 24
15 Bayterek Astana 34 8 5 21 32:67 23
16 Maqtaaral 34 5 7 22 29:62 22
17 CSKA Almaty 34 5 4 25 29:79 19
18 Shymkent 34 2 7 25 27:94 13
Promotion - Premier League 2014 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2013 (Relegation)