Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First Division 2010

Shakhter Karagandy 2

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar play Shakhter Karagandy 2 in the First Division 2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Kyzylzhar averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Shakhter Karagandy 2 averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Kyzylzhar won 2, Shakhter Karagandy 2 won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Aug 4, 2011 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Kyzylzhar and 0.88 for Shakhter Karagandy 2. This points to a Shakhter Karagandy 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Kyzylzhar

29%

Draws

40%

Shakhter Karagandy 2

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Shakhter Karagandy 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Kyzylzhar picked up more points recently compared to Shakhter Karagandy 2.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Kyzylzhar Clean Sheet 25%

Shakhter Karagandy 2 Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Kyzylzhar	Shakhter Karagandy 2
Matches Played	50	34
Wins	17	17
Draws	9	6
Losses	24	11
Goals Scored	1.06	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.22	1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2011 First League

Kyzylzhar vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 56% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

Jul 13, 2011 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Kyzylzhar

Possession: 60% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

0:2

Aug 8, 2010 First League

Kyzylzhar vs Shakhter Karagandy 2

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

3:3

Jul 16, 2010 First League

Shakhter Karagandy 2 vs Kyzylzhar

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar 33 / 100

Shakhter Karagandy 2 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Kyzylzhar Shakhter Karagandy 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Shakhter Karagandy 2 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Kyzylzhar attacking → ← attacking Shakhter Karagandy 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kyzylzhar scored in 58% of their last 50 games.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Kyzylzhar went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Shakhter Karagandy 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 57

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vostok Oskemen	34	27	6	1	91:15	87
2	Kaisar Kyzylorda	34	25	6	3	74:23	81
3	Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan	34	22	7	5	73:28	73
4	Spartak Semey	34	19	7	8	68:40	64
5	Ile-Saulet	34	18	9	7	73:38	63
6	Cesna Almaty	34	18	5	11	56:34	59
7	Kazakhmys	34	17	6	11	80:45	57
8	Ak Bulak	34	14	9	11	48:39	51
9	FC Ekibastuz	34	14	9	11	44:37	51
10	Kyzylzhar	34	14	4	16	44:57	46
11	Taraz-Karatau 2	34	12	8	14	46:54	44
12	Aktobe 2	34	13	4	17	40:66	43
13	Gefest Karagandy	34	12	2	20	52:83	38
14	Shakhter Karagandy 2	34	10	8	16	44:58	38
15	Zhenis	34	9	4	21	41:75	31
16	Kaspij Aktau	34	5	5	24	40:79	20
17	CSKA Almaty	34	5	3	26	32:76	18
18	Asbest Zitikara	34	0	2	32	11:110	2