Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Kyzylzhar W vs Ertis Pavlodar W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Nurzhigitova S.
Assist: Kurtanova A.

AI Match Summary

Kyzylzhar W in this League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kyzylzhar W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Kyzylzhar W
6%
Draws
4%
Ertis Pavlodar W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Kyzylzhar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kyzylzhar W lately — more wins on the board than Ertis Pavlodar W.
  • Win probability leans Kyzylzhar W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Kyzylzhar W Clean Sheet 20%
Ertis Pavlodar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Kyzylzhar W Ertis Pavlodar W
Matches Played 29 10
Wins 16 3
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 3.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 League Women
Kyzylzhar W vs Ertis Pavlodar W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Kyzylzhar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nurzhigitova S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Ertis Pavlodar W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Kyzylzhar W 85 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Kyzylzhar W Ertis Pavlodar W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KYZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ertis Pavlodar W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 10 matches.

Kyzylzhar W's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Kyzylzhar W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Kyzylzhar W VS Ertis Pavlodar W
3.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1BIIK Shymkent W990081:027
2Tomiris-Turan W970222:721
3Kaisar Kyzylorda W961214:1319
4Atyrau W942314:1914
5Kairat W841320:1013
6Ordabasy W932410:2211
7Zhetysu W1022611:248
8Ulytau W90181:361
9Kaspij Aktau W80170:421
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aktobe W111100108:233
2Zhenis Astana W1081149:1825
3Yelimay Semey W1161428:2019
4Kyzylzhar W1052330:1417
5FC Astana W1051419:2416
6Tobol W1050513:2715
7Ertis Pavlodar W1033414:1512
8Shakhter Karagandy W102175:617
9Okzhetpes W101098:533
10Altai W100195:451