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L Entregu CF vs Astur

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015
L Entregu CF Logo

L Entregu CF

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Astur Logo

Astur

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Astur in this Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Astur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
L Entregu CF
15%
Draws
21%
Astur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: L Entregu CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • L Entregu CF have won more games recently than Astur.
  • Model gives L Entregu CF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
L Entregu CF Clean Sheet 20%
Astur Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Entregu CF Astur
Matches Played 42 32
Wins 19 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.17 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.05 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
L Entregu CF vs Astur
0:2
Nov 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Astur vs L Entregu CF
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Entregu CF 49 / 100
Astur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Entregu CF Astur

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick L Entregu CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Astur conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

L Entregu CF's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Astur has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Entregu CF VS Astur
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.6
63% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 60%
50% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

L Entregu CF

(Home)
26 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 0
L Entregu CF
20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3
Langreo
13 Sept
Aviles Stadium
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
06 Sept
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Lealtad
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 9

Astur

(Away)
27 Sept
EI San Martin
2 : 2
Astur
20 Sept
Astur
0 : 1
Club Siero
13 Sept
CD Colunga
2 : 1
Astur
06 Sept
Astur
0 : 3
Caudal Deportivo
29 Oct
Astur
1 : 4
Valladolid
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Condal 38 26 8 4 67:20 86
2 Caudal Deportivo 38 25 9 4 68:18 84
3 Real Oviedo B 38 23 9 6 82:34 78
4 Tuilla 38 22 8 8 67:31 74
5 Covadonga 38 21 7 10 63:39 70
6 Llanes 38 17 13 8 61:51 64
7 Union Club Ceares 38 16 15 7 51:41 63
8 Praviano 38 14 11 13 47:46 53
9 Basico Urraca 38 12 14 12 50:47 50
10 Atletico de Lugones 38 13 10 15 45:49 49
11 CD Mosconia 38 11 14 13 37:45 47
12 Real Aviles B 38 11 13 14 46:53 46
13 Astur 38 11 13 14 39:52 46
14 Gijon Industrial 38 12 10 16 42:50 46
15 CD Roces 38 11 12 15 37:43 45
16 Andes CF 38 12 7 19 44:60 43
17 L Entregu CF 38 9 11 18 34:54 38
18 Lenense 38 8 5 25 38:72 29
19 Universidad Oviedo 38 5 6 27 30:78 21
20 Cudillero 38 2 3 33 10:75 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)