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L Hospitalet vs Gimnastic de Tarragona

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Martinez C.
37' Event
Jardi J.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Morgado C.

AI Match Summary

Gimnastic de Tarragona in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimnastic de Tarragona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
L Hospitalet
39%
Draws
31%
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • L Hospitalet have won more games recently than Gimnastic de Tarragona.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnastic de Tarragona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric L Hospitalet Gimnastic de Tarragona
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Club Friendly
L Hospitalet vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
1:2
Feb 27, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
L Hospitalet vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:0
Nov 29, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs L Hospitalet
5:0
Jan 18, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Gimnastic de Tarragona vs L Hospitalet
0:0
Aug 31, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
L Hospitalet vs Gimnastic de Tarragona
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gimnastic de Tarragona Compare

Top Goalscorer Morgado C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 31 / 100
Gimnastic de Tarragona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
L Hospitalet Gimnastic de Tarragona

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HOS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: L Hospitalet scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Gimnastic de Tarragona has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: L Hospitalet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS Gimnastic de Tarragona
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%