Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

L Hospitalet

1 - 0

Vilassar de Mar

Our Tip

Match Events

81'

Farrerons R.

82'

Ballesteros P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between L Hospitalet and Vilassar de Mar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward L Hospitalet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

L Hospitalet

33%

Draws

40%

Vilassar de Mar

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vilassar de Mar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Vilassar de Mar haven't matched L Hospitalet's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Vilassar de Mar's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
L Hospitalet have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%

L Hospitalet Clean Sheet 20%

Vilassar de Mar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	L Hospitalet	Vilassar de Mar
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	13	7
Draws	6	11
Losses	10	12
Goals Scored	2.25	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Vilassar de Mar vs L Hospitalet

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 4 - 3

1:4

Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar

Possession: 58% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

Vilassar de Mar vs L Hospitalet

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

0:2

Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 0 - 3

0:1

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5

L Hospitalet vs Vilassar de Mar

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

L Hospitalet Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesteros P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.73

Avg xA / game 1.13

Vilassar de Mar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

L Hospitalet 28 / 100

Vilassar de Mar 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

L Hospitalet Vilassar de Mar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

L Hospitalet found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Vilassar de Mar conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: L Hospitalet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

L Hospitalet VS Vilassar de Mar

2.25 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CE Manresa	34	19	9	6	55:32	66
2	CF Badalona	34	17	12	5	43:27	63
3	Cornella	34	17	9	8	50:36	60
4	CF Vilanova	34	15	11	8	38:27	56
5	L Hospitalet	34	16	7	11	55:39	55
6	FE Grama	34	14	12	8	49:35	54
7	FC Lescala	34	12	10	12	51:51	46
8	Peralada	34	11	13	10	45:39	46
9	UE Tona	34	10	15	9	35:31	45
10	CE Europa B	34	12	9	13	44:53	45
11	Montanesa	34	11	9	14	31:39	42
12	Mollerussa	34	9	13	12	39:43	40
13	Vilassar de Mar	34	9	11	14	36:38	38
14	San Cristobal CP	34	8	13	13	39:48	37
15	Cerdanyola del Valles	34	6	16	12	40:53	34
16	Can Vidalet	34	8	9	17	35:53	33
17	UE Vic	34	7	11	16	31:47	32
18	Lleida	34	4	13	17	21:46	25