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La Almunia vs Binefar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Chicho
65'
Guillen J.
65'
Guillen J.

AI Match Summary

La Almunia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Almunia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
La Almunia
20%
Draws
29%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Almunia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Binefar have won more games recently than La Almunia.
  • Model gives La Almunia a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 13%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Binefar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Binefar
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs La Almunia
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Binefar
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs La Almunia
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Binefar
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouayadi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chicho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 57 / 100
Binefar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Almunia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Binefar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

La Almunia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Binefar
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
04 Oct
La Almunia
1 : 3
CD Cuarte
27 Sept
Epila
1 : 3
La Almunia
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

Binefar

(Away)
03 Oct
Robres
1 : 2
Binefar
27 Sept
Binefar
2 : 2
CD Caspe
19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1
Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 5 4 1 0 11:3 13
2 SD Ejea 5 4 0 1 9:4 12
3 Brea 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
4 Atletico Monzon 5 3 1 1 8:7 10
5 CD Cuarte 5 3 0 2 11:6 9
6 CD Caspe 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
7 Fraga 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
8 Binefar 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Epila 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
10 La Almunia 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
11 Almudevar 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
12 Tamarite 5 2 0 3 7:8 6
13 Huesca B 5 1 3 1 4:5 6
14 CF Illueca 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
15 CD Sietamo 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
16 Andorra CF 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
17 Robres 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
18 CD Belchite 97 5 0 1 4 2:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)