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Stadium Background

La Almunia vs Calamocha

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Torcal Guiu D.
51' Event
Onyo C.
71' Event
Gumiel J.

AI Match Summary

Calamocha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
La Almunia
33%
Draws
40%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Calamocha have won more games recently than La Almunia.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 20%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Calamocha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 13 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs La Almunia
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs La Almunia
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onyo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 28 / 100
Calamocha 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Almunia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Calamocha conceded in 40% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Calamocha
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
19 Apr
La Almunia
0 : 1
Andorra CF
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
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Calamocha

(Away)
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
12 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
CF Illueca
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Calamocha34236549:2275
2CD Cuarte342014043:1274
3Atletico Monzon34234773:3773
4Epila341910539:2067
5CD Caspe341314738:2653
6Huesca B3414101052:3352
7Binefar341461458:4748
8La Almunia341114942:3847
9Almudevar341281434:3944
10Tamarite3410111341:4741
11Andorra CF341091535:4539
12CF Illueca349111435:5138
13Robres341061838:4936
14CD Belchite 97347111628:4332
15CD Carinena345161335:4631
16UD Casetas346121640:5630
17Utrillas345141536:5729
18Zuera342102217:6516
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 (Play Offs)