Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Almunia vs Calamocha

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Torcal Guiu D.
51' Event
Onyo C.
71' Event
Gumiel J.

AI Match Summary

Calamocha in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
La Almunia
15%
Draws
48%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Calamocha have won more games recently than La Almunia.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Almunia Calamocha
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 11 5
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
1:2
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs La Almunia
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs La Almunia
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
0:1
Mar 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Calamocha
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Almunia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gumiel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Calamocha Compare

Top Goalscorer Torcal Guiu D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Onyo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Almunia 41 / 100
Calamocha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Almunia Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Almunia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Almunia scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Almunia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Calamocha conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Almunia VS Calamocha
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Almunia

(Home)
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0
La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2
Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1
La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1
Epila
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

Calamocha

(Away)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)