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La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between La Baneza and Real Burgos CF finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Baneza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
La Baneza
15%
Draws
28%
Real Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Baneza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • La Baneza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on La Baneza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 20%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Baneza Real Burgos CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
4:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
2:0
Oct 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
2:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Baneza 42 / 100
Real Burgos CF 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Baneza Real Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Burgos CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Real Burgos CF has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: La Baneza scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Baneza VS Real Burgos CF
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Baneza

(Home)
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
0 : 3
Atletico Astorga
20 Jun
La Baneza
0 : 4
Almazan
12 Jun
Colegios Diocesanos
2 : 0
La Baneza
06 Jun
La Baneza
2 : 0
La Granja
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Real Burgos CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Becerril
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
22 May
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 1
Real Burgos CF
16 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
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