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La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Baneza play Real Burgos CF in the Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Baneza averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Real Burgos CF averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. In past meetings, La Baneza won 2, Real Burgos CF won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2021 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for La Baneza and 1.06 for Real Burgos CF. This points to a La Baneza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Baneza
44%
Draws
20%
Real Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • La Baneza has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Real Burgos CF.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
La Baneza Clean Sheet 20%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Baneza Real Burgos CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
1:0
Apr 18, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
4:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs La Baneza
2:0
Oct 9, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
2:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
La Baneza vs Real Burgos CF
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Baneza 36 / 100
Real Burgos CF 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Baneza Real Burgos CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Baneza scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Real Burgos CF let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

La Baneza went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Real Burgos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Baneza VS Real Burgos CF
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%