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La Cantera vs Libertad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Copa Ecuador 2025
La Cantera Logo

La Cantera

Wed, Jul 16, 2025
1 - 0
08:00 PM
Libertad Logo

Libertad

Our Tip

Match Events

66'
Cagua F.
1' Event
Camacho C.
Penalty Missed
1' Event
Ayovi W.
Penalty Missed
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with La Cantera advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
La Cantera
15%
Draws
37%
Libertad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Cantera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • La Cantera haven't matched Libertad's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Libertad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Cantera, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
La Cantera Clean Sheet 23%
Libertad Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Cantera Libertad
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.6 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2025 Copa Ecuador
La Cantera vs Libertad
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Cantera 37 / 100
Libertad 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Cantera Libertad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libertad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Cantera found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (5 games).

Libertad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Solid form: La Cantera remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Libertad
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Cantera

(Home)
27 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
6 : 1
La Cantera
16 Jul
La Cantera
1 : 0
Libertad
25 May
Montufar Futbol Club
1 : 4
La Cantera
15 Aug
La Cantera
0 : 3
Tecnico U.
07 Jul
La Cantera
2 : 1
Nueve de Octubre

Libertad

(Away)
20 Sept
Emelec
1 : 2
Libertad
13 Sept
Libertad
2 : 3
Independiente del Valle
07 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Libertad
04 Sept
Libertad
1 : 1
Emelec
30 Aug
Aucas
1 : 0
Libertad
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Club Deportivo Ibarra 0
San Antonio 1
Manta -
TBD -
Liga De Macas 2
Olmedo 3
LDU Quito -
TBD -
Ecuagenera 2
Cumbaya 1
Aucas -
TBD -
Banos 3
Huaquillas FC 2
Dep. Cuenca -
TBD -
Luz Valdivia 1
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Delfin -
TBD -
CD San Camilo 0
Guayaquil City 1
Mushuc Runa -
TBD -
Leones del Norte 4
Sembrando Buenos Campeones 0
Orense -
TBD -
CD Miguel Iturralde 2
Patria 1
Emelec -
TBD -
Gualaceo 2
Mineros 0
Vinotinto -
TBD -
La Troncal FC 1
Imbabura 2
Independiente del Valle -
TBD -
Independiente Juniors 1
LDU Portoviejo 2
Macara -
TBD -
Rio Aguarico 2
Club Sportivo Loja 1
U. Catolica -
TBD -
Atletico Vinotinto 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 3
Barcelona SC -
TBD -
La Cantera 4
Montufar Futbol Club 1
Libertad -
TBD -
Club Deportivo Panamericana 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
Tecnico U. -
TBD -
Deportivo Coca 0
22 de Julio 3
EL Nacional -
TBD -
1/16-finals
San Antonio 1
Manta 0
Olmedo 1
LDU Quito 2
Ecuagenera 0
Aucas 1
Banos 0
Dep. Cuenca 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 3
Delfin 2
Guayaquil City 3
Mushuc Runa 1
Leones del Norte 1
Orense 0
CD Miguel Iturralde 1
Emelec 2
Gualaceo 2
Vinotinto 1
Imbabura 0
Independiente del Valle 1
LDU Portoviejo 1
Macara 0
Rio Aguarico 0
U. Catolica 1
CD Cuenca Juniors 2
Barcelona SC 0
La Cantera 1
Libertad 0
Nueve de Octubre 1
Tecnico U. 0
22 de Julio 0
EL Nacional 3
1/8-finals
San Antonio 0
LDU Quito 4
Aucas 1
Dep. Cuenca 2
Dep. Santo Domingo 2
Guayaquil City 3
Leones del Norte 0
Emelec 1
Gualaceo 0
Independiente del Valle 6
LDU Portoviejo 1
U. Catolica 3
CD Cuenca Juniors 6
La Cantera 1
Nueve de Octubre 2
EL Nacional 1
Quarter-finals
LDU Quito 2
Dep. Cuenca 0
Guayaquil City 0
Emelec 1
Independiente del Valle 1
U. Catolica 2
CD Cuenca Juniors 2
Nueve de Octubre 1
Semi-finals
LDU Quito 3
Emelec 2
U. Catolica 4
CD Cuenca Juniors 1
Final
LDU Quito 2
U. Catolica 3