Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Estrella vs Arroyo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arroyo in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arroyo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Estrella
15%
Draws
85%
Arroyo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arroyo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Arroyo have won more games recently than La Estrella.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on La Estrella taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Arroyo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 20%
Arroyo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Estrella Arroyo
Matches Played 31 37
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 20 21
Goals Scored 1 0.92
Goals Conceded 2 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs La Estrella
2:1
Sep 25, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Arroyo
0:1
Apr 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Arroyo
0:1
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Arroyo vs La Estrella
1:0
Apr 18, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Arroyo
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Estrella 67 / 100
Arroyo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Estrella Arroyo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Estrella Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arroyo has conceded goals in 81% of their last 37 outings.

La Estrella found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Arroyo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Arroyo
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Estrella

(Home)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
Page 1 of 7

Arroyo

(Away)
11 May
Arroyo
2 : 2
CD Calamonte
04 May
Montijo
1 : 0
Arroyo
27 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 4
SP Villafranca
17 Apr
Moralo
5 : 0
Arroyo
13 Apr
Arroyo
1 : 2
CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)