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La Estrella vs CD Azuaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 game between La Estrella and CD Azuaga finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Estrella
15%
Draws
85%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Azuaga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CD Azuaga a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CD Azuaga have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 16%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Estrella CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 1 1.81
Goals Conceded 2 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Azuaga
2:3
Jan 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs La Estrella
6:0
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs CD Azuaga
1:1
Sep 4, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs La Estrella
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Estrella 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Estrella CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

La Estrella's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: CD Azuaga conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Azuaga
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Estrella

(Home)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
Page 1 of 6

CD Azuaga

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Azuaga
4 : 0
Guadiana
27 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Jerez CF
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)