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La Estrella vs Don Benito

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Estrella
15%
Draws
85%
Don Benito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Don Benito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Don Benito lately — more wins on the board than La Estrella.
  • Don Benito are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
La Estrella Clean Sheet 14%
Don Benito Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Estrella Don Benito
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 5 25
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1 2.14
Goals Conceded 2 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Don Benito
0:0
Oct 23, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs La Estrella
5:0
Feb 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Don Benito
1:3
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Don Benito vs La Estrella
1:2
Mar 29, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
La Estrella vs Don Benito
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Estrella 10 / 100
Don Benito 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Estrella Don Benito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Don Benito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Estrella found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Don Benito has conceded goals in 44% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Don Benito
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

La Estrella

(Home)
23 Apr
La Estrella
2 : 3
CD Azuaga
16 Apr
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
La Estrella
06 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
UP Plasencia
02 Apr
La Estrella
1 : 2
Olivenza FC
26 Mar
Pueblonuevo
4 : 0
La Estrella
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Don Benito

(Away)
26 Sept
Don Benito
1 : 0
Sanluqueno
20 Sept
Xerez CD
0 : 0
Don Benito
13 Sept
Don Benito
3 : 0
Las Palmas B
06 Sept
Antoniano
1 : 2
Don Benito
30 Aug
Don Benito
1 : 0
Puertollano C.F.
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cacereno 38 29 5 4 81:16 92
2 CD Badajoz 38 25 10 3 90:17 85
3 Jerez CF 38 25 4 9 58:26 79
4 CD Azuaga 38 22 8 8 83:42 74
5 CD Coria 38 22 6 10 62:29 72
6 Don Benito 38 18 14 6 62:26 68
7 CD Calamonte 38 16 14 8 70:39 62
8 UP Plasencia 38 17 8 13 59:56 59
9 Moralo 38 13 13 12 57:58 52
10 Olivenza FC 38 12 11 15 44:54 47
11 Montijo 38 11 10 17 41:59 43
12 CP Amanecer 38 10 13 15 52:58 43
13 Extremadura UD B 38 9 13 16 49:55 40
14 CP Valdivia 38 9 12 17 34:63 39
15 Arroyo 38 10 7 21 31:64 37
16 Santa Amalia 38 10 6 22 34:82 36
17 Pueblonuevo 38 8 11 19 34:64 35
18 Fuente de Cantos 38 8 10 20 42:69 34
19 Diter Zafra 38 6 6 26 34:95 24
20 La Estrella 38 3 13 22 34:79 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)