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La Fiorita vs Fiorentino

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Barretta A.
Assist: Cicarelli D.

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Fiorita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
La Fiorita
44%
Draws
20%
Fiorentino
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • La Fiorita has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fiorentino.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 44% draw probability.
  • Cup tournament structure in Campionato Sammarinese increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 16%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fiorita Fiorentino
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
3:2
May 2, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs Fiorentino
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs La Fiorita
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Fiorita Compare

Top Goalscorer Barretta A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fiorentino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fiorita 36 / 100
Fiorentino 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fiorita Fiorentino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Fiorita scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Fiorentino let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

La Fiorita went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fiorentino lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Fiorita VS Fiorentino
1.75 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Juvenes/Dogana1
AC Libertas1
Folgore-
TBD-
TBD-
SP Domagnano-
Tre Penne-
TBD-
SP Cosmos3
SS Pennarossa0
La Fiorita-
TBD-
TBD-
Fiorentino-
Quarter-finals
Virtus2
Juvenes/Dogana0
Folgore2
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne0
SP Cosmos0
La Fiorita3
Fiorentino3
Semi-finals
Virtus3
SP Domagnano3
Tre Penne1
La Fiorita2
Final
Virtus2
La Fiorita1
SP Domagnano1
Tre Penne3