Sport Picks
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Mazzotti M.
Assist: Cicarelli D.
14'
14'
Semprini J.
59'
59'
Guidi T.
Assist: Felipe J.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between La Fiorita and San Giovanni finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Fiorita.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Fiorita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and La Fiorita come out ahead of San Giovanni on wins alone.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on La Fiorita taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors La Fiorita here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Fiorita | San Giovanni |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
3:0
Dec 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs La Fiorita
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
2:1
Nov 8, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs La Fiorita
1:2
Feb 25, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs San Giovanni
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
La Fiorita Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazzotti M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Semprini J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
San Giovanni Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Fiorita 95 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Fiorita San Giovanni
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
San Giovanni has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
La Fiorita found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Recent resilience: La Fiorita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
La Fiorita VS San Giovanni
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
La Fiorita
(Home) 19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1 San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1 San Marino Academy U22
14 Jul
La Fiorita
0 : 2 UNA Strassen
27 Jun
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Vardar
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
02 May
La Fiorita
1 : 0 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 3
San Giovanni
(Away) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0 San Giovanni
26 Apr
Tre Penne
4 : 0 San Giovanni
07 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 0 San Giovanni
15 Mar
Folgore
2 : 2 San Giovanni
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
