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Stadium Background

La Fleche vs Chatellerault

France France

Coupe de France 2003/2004
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with La Fleche advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
La Fleche
15%
Draws
64%
Chatellerault
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatellerault

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Chatellerault carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chatellerault are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Chatellerault arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fleche, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
La Fleche Clean Sheet 10%
Chatellerault Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fleche Chatellerault
Matches Played 8 31
Wins 3 7
Draws 0 10
Losses 5 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2003 Coupe de France
La Fleche vs Chatellerault
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fleche 22 / 100
Chatellerault 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fleche Chatellerault

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatellerault Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Fleche scored in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Chatellerault conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: La Fleche stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Fleche VS Chatellerault
1.67 Goals Scored 1.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fleche

(Home)
16 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Linas-Montlhery
20 Nov
La Fleche
1 : 2
Limoges
21 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Chartres
08 Jan
La Fleche
1 : 2
Libourne
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0
Choisy Au Bac
Page 1 of 2

Chatellerault

(Away)
19 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 1
Avoine
29 Oct
Chatellerault
4 : 2
SA Merignac
17 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 2
Challans
30 May
Chatellerault
3 : 2
Bergerac
23 May
Luzenac
1 : 3
Chatellerault
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
PSG -
TBD -
La Fleche 0
Troyes 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Langon FC 0
Libourne 1
Guingamp -
TBD -
Niort 1
Bayonne 2
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
Mulhouse 2
Geispol FC 1
TBD -
Montpellier -
Nancy 2
Vesoul 1
TBD -
Lille -
Lorient 0
Laval 0
Auch 1
Brive 3
Rennes -
TBD -
Concarneau 0
Angers 1
Poissy 3
Grande-Synthe 1
Toulon 0
Thonon-Evian 2
Nice -
TBD -
JS Audunois 1
Moulins 2
Racing Club de France 3
Bourges 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Brest 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
St. Colomban Locmine 2
Montlucon 2
Sete 0
Istres 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
Fontenay 7
ES Segre Football 2
SC Feignies (inactive) 1
Bois-Guillaume 2
Beaujolais 1
Borgo 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Dijon 2
Fontainebleu 1
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
St Etienne 2
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Gueugnon 2
Lons 1
TBD -
AC Ajaccio -
Laval 2
Cesson 1
Boulogne BAC 1
Reims 4
Caen 3
Chantilly 0
JA Drancy 0
Le Havre 3
Ernolsheim 4
Jarville 2
Macon 1
Cannes 4
Plabennec 7
Dolaysen 0
Rodez 1
JA Drancy 2
Mantes 1
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 0
Beauvais 1
Amiens SC 2
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Change 3
Servel Lannion 0
St Quentin 1
Valenciennes 4
Bourg Peronnas 4
FC Mondelan 0
US Saint-Georges 0
Martigues 2
Aire-sur-la-Lys 1
Peronne 0
TBD -
Lyon -
Creteil 3
Ivry 0
Morne-r-l'Eau 1
Boulogne 4
Bastia -
TBD -
Belfort 1
Besancon RC 4
Valence 2
Bourg Jall FC 1
Versailles 0
Epernay 2
Grenoble 3
Seyssinet 0
Saint Chinian 0
Chateauroux 1
1/32-finals
PSG 3
Troyes 2
Strasbourg 1
Marseille 2
Bordeaux 2
Libourne 0
Guingamp 4
Bayonne 5
Auxerre 2
Sochaux 0
Mulhouse 0
Montpellier 2
Nancy 1
Lille 0
Lorient 1
Brive 2
Rennes 1
Angers 0
Poissy 0
Thonon-Evian 1
Nice 1
Moulins 0
Racing Club de France 1
Toulouse 3
Brest 2
St. Colomban Locmine 0
Montlucon 2
GFC Ajaccio 3
Fontenay 1
Bois-Guillaume 0
Beaujolais 1
Nantes 2
Dijon 1
St Etienne 0
Le Mans 0
Lens 1
Gueugnon 2
AC Ajaccio 0
Laval 0
Reims 1
Caen 1
Le Havre 0
Ernolsheim 0
Cannes 3
Plabennec 3
JA Drancy 0
Mantes 0
Amiens SC 3
Monaco 2
Metz 0
Change 0
Valenciennes 3
Bourg Peronnas 4
Martigues 3
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
Lyon 4
Creteil 3
Boulogne 2
Bastia 0
Besancon RC 2
Valence 1
Epernay 0
Grenoble 0
Chateauroux 1
1/16-finals
PSG 2
Marseille 1
Bordeaux 0
Bayonne 1
Auxerre 2
Montpellier 0
Nancy 2
Brive 3
Rennes 2
Thonon-Evian 0
Nice 0
Toulouse 1
Brest 3
GFC Ajaccio 1
Fontenay 0
Nantes 3
Dijon 2
Lens 1
Gueugnon 1
Reims 3
Caen 1
Cannes 0
Plabennec 0
Amiens SC 3
Monaco 1
Valenciennes 0
Bourg Peronnas 0
Lyon 5
Creteil 3
Besancon RC 1
Valence 2
Chateauroux 3
1/8-finals
PSG 2
Bayonne 0
Auxerre 0
Brive 1
Rennes 2
Toulouse 1
Brest 0
Nantes 4
Dijon 2
Reims 1
Caen 0
Amiens SC 1
Monaco 4
Lyon 1
Creteil 0
Chateauroux 2
Quarter-finals
PSG 2
Brive 1
Rennes 2
Nantes 3
Dijon 1
Amiens SC 0
Monaco 0
Chateauroux 1
Semi-finals
PSG 2
Nantes 1
Dijon 0
Chateauroux 2
Final
PSG 1
Chateauroux 0