Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Fleche vs Choisy Au Bac

France France

Coupe de France 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with La Fleche advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
La Fleche
15%
Draws
57%
Choisy Au Bac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Choisy Au Bac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and La Fleche come out ahead of Choisy Au Bac on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans La Fleche's way, sitting at 40%.
  • La Fleche have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor La Fleche, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
La Fleche Clean Sheet 20%
Choisy Au Bac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Fleche Choisy Au Bac
Matches Played 8 5
Wins 3 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 1.5 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.45 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2004 Coupe de France
La Fleche vs Choisy Au Bac
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Fleche 40 / 100
Choisy Au Bac 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Fleche Choisy Au Bac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Fleche Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Fleche scored in 88% of their last 8 outings.

Defensive concern: Choisy Au Bac conceded in 60% of 5 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Choisy Au Bac has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

La Fleche VS Choisy Au Bac
1.5 Goals Scored 0.8
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.4
88% Over 1.5 60%
75% Over 2.5 40%
25% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

La Fleche

(Home)
16 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Linas-Montlhery
20 Nov
La Fleche
1 : 2
Limoges
21 Nov
La Fleche
2 : 3
Chartres
08 Jan
La Fleche
1 : 2
Libourne
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0
Choisy Au Bac
Page 1 of 2

Choisy Au Bac

(Away)
19 Nov
Douvres
2 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
12 Nov
Quarouble
0 : 1
Choisy Au Bac
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0
Choisy Au Bac
20 Nov
Choisy Au Bac
1 : 0
La Ferte-bernard

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Auxerre -
TBD -
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Calais 3
Tarbes 1
Montlucon 0
Stade Briochin 1
Vannes 2
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
Istres -
US Langueux 2
Orleans 1
TBD -
PSG -
Nantes -
TBD -
Pau 0
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 1
Paris FC 1
JA Drancy 0
Amiens SC 0
Saumur Olympique 2
Blois Foot 41 1
Change 0
Pierrots Vauban 0
Epinal 3
Avranches 1
Servel Lannion 0
Saint Neuves Maisons 0
Boulogne 2
Sochaux -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
La Rochelle 0
TBD -
Metz -
Angers 2
Limoges 0
TBD -
Marseille -
Troyes 1
Besancon RC 0
Bayonne 2
Albi 4
Nice -
TBD -
Dunkerque 0
Beauvais 1
Schiltigheim 1
Creteil 0
Saint-Omer 0
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio -
TBD -
Arras 0
Nancy 1
St Etienne -
TBD -
Andrezieux 1
Nimes 2
Monaco -
TBD -
EP Manosque 1
Seyssinet 2
La Fleche 2
Choisy Au Bac 0
Stade Montois 0
Libourne 2
Caen -
TBD -
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 0
Mulhouse 3
Brest 2
Le Poire Sur Vie 1
TBD -
Rennes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Les Lilas 1
Viry-Chatillon 2
Gambsheim 4
La Chapelle 0
TBD -
Toulouse -
Toulon 2
Cassis Carnoux 1
US Semnoz Vieugy 0
Montceau 1
Vesoul 7
FC Sainte - Marquerite 1
Domerat 0
Clermont 2
Grenoble 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
TBD -
Chateauroux -
Rapid de Menton 3
Frontignan AC 0
Montpellier 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens -
TBD -
Avion 0
Dizier 1
Le Mans 1
Bois-Guillaume 0
TBD -
Lille -
Quevilly 2
Le Havre 1
La Roche Vendee 0
Guingamp 4
Haguenau 1
Gueugnon 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Saint-Malo 1
Vitre 0
Pontivy 1
Strasbourg -
TBD -
SC Feignies (inactive) 2
Sedan 3
1/32-finals
Auxerre 1
Calais 0
Tarbes 0
Vannes 3
Bordeaux 2
Istres 0
US Langueux 1
PSG 6
Nantes 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Paris FC 2
Saumur Olympique 3
Blois Foot 41 1
Epinal 0
Avranches 0
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 1
Bastia 0
Rodez 1
Metz 2
Angers 3
Marseille 2
Troyes 1
Albi 3
Nice 4
Beauvais 0
Schiltigheim 0
Reims 2
AC Ajaccio 2
Nancy 1
St Etienne 2
Nimes 3
Monaco 7
Seyssinet 0
La Fleche 1
Libourne 2
Caen 2
Mulhouse 0
Brest 0
Rennes 1
Lyon 2
Viry-Chatillon 0
Gambsheim 0
Toulouse 3
Toulon 3
Montceau 0
Vesoul 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Chateauroux 2
Rapid de Menton 0
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 4
Dizier 0
Le Mans 1
Lille 2
Quevilly 1
Guingamp 0
Haguenau 1
Romorantin 2
Montagnarde 2
Pontivy 0
Strasbourg 1
Sedan 3
1/16-finals
Auxerre 2
Vannes 0
Bordeaux 1
PSG 3
Nantes 2
Saumur Olympique 0
Blois Foot 41 0
Boulogne 4
Sochaux 1
Metz 0
Angers 0
Albi 2
Nice 3
Reims 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Nimes 2
Monaco 4
Libourne 2
Caen 0
Rennes 2
Lyon 2
Toulouse 1
Toulon 0
Clermont 1
Grenoble 2
FC Rhone Vallees 1
Lens 2
Lille 3
Quevilly 1
Romorantin 0
Montagnarde 0
Sedan 4
1/8-finals
Auxerre 3
PSG 2
Nantes 2
Boulogne 3
Sochaux 3
Albi 0
Nice 0
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Rennes 0
Lyon 1
Clermont 2
Grenoble 3
Lille 1
Quevilly 0
Sedan 2
Quarter-finals
Auxerre 2
Boulogne 1
Sochaux 3
Nimes 4
Monaco 1
Clermont 0
Grenoble 1
Sedan 2
Semi-finals
Auxerre 2
Nimes 1
Monaco 0
Sedan 1
Final
Auxerre 2
Sedan 1