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La Gineta vs Hellin Deportivo

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015
Sun, Feb 15, 2015
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Gineta host Hellin Deportivo in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015. La Gineta are expected to control this from the start. La Gineta have averaged 1 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Hellin Deportivo's 0.03 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, La Gineta have won 2 to Hellin Deportivo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2015, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.13) back La Gineta to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
La Gineta
15%
Draws
0%
Hellin Deportivo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Gineta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • La Gineta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives La Gineta a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
La Gineta Clean Sheet 20%
Hellin Deportivo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Gineta Hellin Deportivo
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 0
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 29
Goals Scored 1 0.03
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Hellin Deportivo
2:0
Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs La Gineta
0:3
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
La Gineta vs Hellin Deportivo
1:1
Dec 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs La Gineta
1:1
Apr 12, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Hellin Deportivo vs La Gineta
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Gineta 85 / 100
Hellin Deportivo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Gineta Hellin Deportivo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Gineta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hellin Deportivo has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.

Hellin Deportivo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

La Gineta found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

La Gineta VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Gineta

(Home)
15 May
Almagro
2 : 1
La Gineta
08 May
La Gineta
0 : 1
Villarrubia
01 May
Illescas
2 : 1
La Gineta
24 Apr
La Gineta
0 : 0
Manchego Ciudad Real
17 Apr
Marchamalo
3 : 1
La Gineta
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Hellin Deportivo

(Away)
17 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Mora CF
10 May
Madridejos
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
03 May
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
Villarrubia
26 Apr
Toledo 2
2 : 0
Hellin Deportivo
19 Apr
Hellin Deportivo
0 : 2
CD Pedroneras
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Talavera 38 25 9 4 85:27 84
2 UD Almansa 38 24 7 7 62:32 79
3 Quintanar del Rey 38 21 12 5 48:19 75
4 Manzanares 38 21 10 7 59:24 73
5 Madridejos 38 20 12 6 43:21 72
6 Villarrubia 38 17 14 7 50:35 65
7 Marchamalo 38 17 8 13 55:51 59
8 Mora CF 38 16 9 13 51:39 57
9 Villarrobledo 38 15 9 14 58:49 54
10 CD Puertollano 38 14 11 13 54:46 53
11 CD Pedroneras 38 14 9 15 45:37 51
12 Toledo 2 38 16 2 20 47:55 50
13 Atletico Ibanes 38 12 12 14 42:40 48
14 Albacete B 38 13 8 17 59:56 47
15 Manchego Ciudad Real 38 13 7 18 47:57 46
16 Almagro 38 11 11 16 43:44 44
17 La Gineta 38 11 10 17 39:53 43
18 Daimiel 38 11 7 20 39:67 40
19 Alcazar 38 2 5 31 21:117 11
20 Hellin Deportivo 38 0 2 36 3:81 2
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)