Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Massana vs Esperanca

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2024/2025 Centre d'Entrenament de la FAF, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Sub
Acosta M. In: Lopez R.
Out: Acosta M.
20'
Bernat V.
20'
Torrellas A.

AI Match Summary

La Massana in this Primera Divisió 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Massana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
La Massana
15%
Draws
85%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Esperanca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Esperanca lately — more wins on the board than La Massana.
  • Win probability leans Esperanca's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
La Massana Clean Sheet 20%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Massana Esperanca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 1 7
Draws 2 5
Losses 27 17
Goals Scored 0.33 1.03
Goals Conceded 3.7 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs La Massana
1:0
Dec 11, 2024 Primera Divisió
La Massana vs Esperanca
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 Primera Divisió
La Massana vs Esperanca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Massana Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernat V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Uile
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Massana 10 / 100
Esperanca 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Massana Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Esperanca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esperanca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

La Massana's goal record stands at 27% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Esperanca registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Esperanca
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Massana

(Home)
11 Jan
La Massana
0 : 3
Inter Escaldes
18 May
Ordino
5 : 1
La Massana
11 May
La Massana
0 : 5
Pas de la Casa
04 May
Esperanca
1 : 0
La Massana
26 Apr
La Massana
1 : 4
FC Santa Coloma
Page 1 of 6

Esperanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 27 18 8 1 84:19 62
2 Atletic Escaldes 27 16 7 4 70:25 55
3 FC Santa Coloma 27 16 4 7 42:28 52
4 UE Santa Coloma 27 14 7 6 56:24 49
5 FC Rangers 27 13 9 5 59:20 48
6 Ordino 27 9 6 12 32:48 33
7 Penya 27 9 6 12 32:46 30
8 Pas de la Casa 27 8 5 14 35:36 29
9 Esperanca 27 1 4 22 14:92 7
10 La Massana 27 1 2 24 10:102 5
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2024/2025 (Relegation)