Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with La Muela advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Marino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- CD Marino haven't matched La Muela's recent run of results.
- CD Marino are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- La Muela have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor La Muela, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Muela | CD Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 12 | 13 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs CD Marino
1:0
May 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
CD Marino vs La Muela
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Muela 20 / 100
CD Marino 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Muela CD Marino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CD Marino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: CD Marino conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.
La Muela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
La Muela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Marino
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
La Muela
(Home) 15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
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15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
03 Apr
La Muela
0 : 0 Eibar
27 Mar
La Muela
0 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
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CD Marino
(Away) 04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1 UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
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26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0 CD Marino
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0 CD Marino
08 Apr
Tamaraceite
2 : 2 CD Marino
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Almeria B 4
Pena Deportiva 3
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Azuqueca 2
Universidad Oviedo 1
TBD -
L Hospitalet -
Coruxo FC 5
Parla 3
TBD -
Oyonesa -
Amorebieta 4
El Palo 2
TBD -
La Roda -
Extremadura UD 1
Novelda CF 1
Ferriolense 0
Mairena 2
Real Avila 3
UM Escobedo 2
TBD -
Mancha -
Santboia 2
Arandina 1
TBD -
Corralejo -
Llanes 4
Valladolid Promesas 3
TBD -
Tudelano -
Arroyo 3
Alfaro 5
UCAM Murcia 1
Cerceda 4
CD Ourense 1
Constancia 2
CD Marino 0
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Zaragoza B 1
TBD -
Futbol Club Jumilla -
Iruna 1
Illescas 6
Anguiano 0
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 6
Cirbonero 4
SD Ejea 1
Alzira 1
CF Talavera 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Villarreal C 1
Jerez CF 1
Elgoibar 0
Marino De Luanco 3
Marinaleda 1
Las Palmas B 4
Prat 0
Pena 2
Bezana 1
Motril 2
Lorca Deportiva 2
Haro Deportivo 3
TBD -
SD Noja -
CD Tropezon 2
Pajara Playas 4
Trival Valderas 3
Yeclano 5
Semi-finals
Almeria B 2
Burgos CF 1
Azuqueca 2
L Hospitalet 3
Coruxo FC 3
Oyonesa 2
Amorebieta 2
La Roda 3
Extremadura UD 2
Mairena 2
Real Avila 0
Mancha 2
Santboia 1
Corralejo 1
Llanes 2
Tudelano 8
Alfaro 1
Cerceda 3
Constancia 1
La Muela 2
Getafe B 2
Futbol Club Jumilla 1
Illescas 1
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 0
Alzira 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Jerez CF 2
Marino De Luanco 3
Las Palmas B 6
Pena 3
Motril 3
Haro Deportivo 3
SD Noja 2
Pajara Playas 1
Yeclano 2
Final
Almeria B 1
L Hospitalet 1
Coruxo FC 3
La Roda 1
Extremadura UD 4
Mancha 2
Santboia 4
Tudelano 3
Cerceda 2
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Portugalete 2
Alzira 6
Jerez CF 2
Las Palmas B 2
Pena 3
Haro Deportivo 1
Yeclano 2
