Sport Picks
La Muela vs Constancia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- La Muela haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- Constancia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
La Muela Clean Sheet 10%
Constancia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Muela | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs Constancia
1:1
May 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Constancia vs La Muela
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Muela 10 / 100
Constancia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Muela Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Muela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Constancia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
La Muela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
La Muela
(Home) 15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
Page 1 of 7
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
03 Apr
La Muela
0 : 0 Eibar
27 Mar
La Muela
0 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
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Constancia
(Away) 03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3 Constancia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0 Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3 Constancia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Almeria B 4
Pena Deportiva 3
TBD -
Burgos CF -
Azuqueca 2
Universidad Oviedo 1
TBD -
L Hospitalet -
Coruxo FC 5
Parla 3
TBD -
Oyonesa -
Amorebieta 4
El Palo 2
TBD -
La Roda -
Extremadura UD 1
Novelda CF 1
Ferriolense 0
Mairena 2
Real Avila 3
UM Escobedo 2
TBD -
Mancha -
Santboia 2
Arandina 1
TBD -
Corralejo -
Llanes 4
Valladolid Promesas 3
TBD -
Tudelano -
Arroyo 3
Alfaro 5
UCAM Murcia 1
Cerceda 4
CD Ourense 1
Constancia 2
CD Marino 0
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Zaragoza B 1
TBD -
Futbol Club Jumilla -
Iruna 1
Illescas 6
Anguiano 0
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 6
Cirbonero 4
SD Ejea 1
Alzira 1
CF Talavera 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Villarreal C 1
Jerez CF 1
Elgoibar 0
Marino De Luanco 3
Marinaleda 1
Las Palmas B 4
Prat 0
Pena 2
Bezana 1
Motril 2
Lorca Deportiva 2
Haro Deportivo 3
TBD -
SD Noja -
CD Tropezon 2
Pajara Playas 4
Trival Valderas 3
Yeclano 5
Semi-finals
Almeria B 2
Burgos CF 1
Azuqueca 2
L Hospitalet 3
Coruxo FC 3
Oyonesa 2
Amorebieta 2
La Roda 3
Extremadura UD 2
Mairena 2
Real Avila 0
Mancha 2
Santboia 1
Corralejo 1
Llanes 2
Tudelano 8
Alfaro 1
Cerceda 3
Constancia 1
La Muela 2
Getafe B 2
Futbol Club Jumilla 1
Illescas 1
Portugalete 2
Ayamonte 0
Alzira 1
Reus FC Reddis 2
Jerez CF 2
Marino De Luanco 3
Las Palmas B 6
Pena 3
Motril 3
Haro Deportivo 3
SD Noja 2
Pajara Playas 1
Yeclano 2
Final
Almeria B 1
L Hospitalet 1
Coruxo FC 3
La Roda 1
Extremadura UD 4
Mancha 2
Santboia 4
Tudelano 3
Cerceda 2
La Muela 3
Getafe B 3
Portugalete 2
Alzira 6
Jerez CF 2
Las Palmas B 2
Pena 3
Haro Deportivo 1
Yeclano 2
