Sport Picks
La Muela vs Constancia
Spain
Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- La Muela haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- Constancia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
Constancia Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | La Muela | Constancia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 6, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
La Muela vs Constancia
1:1
May 30, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Constancia vs La Muela
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
La Muela 10 / 100
Constancia 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
La Muela Constancia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Muela's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Defensive concern: Constancia conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
La Muela has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Constancia
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
La Muela
(Home) 15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1 La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2 La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
Page 1 of 7
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1 Leonesa
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3 Lemona
03 Apr
La Muela
0 : 0 Eibar
27 Mar
La Muela
0 : 0 Ath Bilbao B
Page 1 of 4
Constancia
(Away) 24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3 Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1 Constancia
15 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 4 Constancia
12 Apr
Cardassar
0 : 2 Constancia
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Almeria B4
Pena Deportiva3
TBD-
Burgos CF-
Azuqueca2
Universidad Oviedo1
TBD-
L Hospitalet-
Coruxo FC5
Parla3
TBD-
Oyonesa-
Amorebieta4
El Palo2
TBD-
La Roda-
Extremadura UD1
Novelda CF1
Ferriolense0
Mairena2
Real Avila3
UM Escobedo2
TBD-
Mancha-
Santboia2
Arandina1
TBD-
Corralejo-
Llanes4
Valladolid Promesas3
TBD-
Tudelano-
Arroyo3
Alfaro5
UCAM Murcia1
Cerceda4
CD Ourense1
Constancia2
CD Marino0
La Muela3
Getafe B3
Zaragoza B1
TBD-
Futbol Club Jumilla-
Iruna1
Illescas6
Anguiano0
Portugalete2
Ayamonte6
Cirbonero4
SD Ejea1
Alzira1
CF Talavera1
Reus FC Reddis2
Villarreal C1
Jerez CF1
Elgoibar0
Marino De Luanco3
Marinaleda1
Las Palmas B4
Prat0
Pena2
Bezana1
Motril2
Lorca Deportiva2
Haro Deportivo3
TBD-
SD Noja-
CD Tropezon2
Pajara Playas4
Trival Valderas3
Yeclano5
Semi-finals
Almeria B2
Burgos CF1
Azuqueca2
L Hospitalet3
Coruxo FC3
Oyonesa2
Amorebieta2
La Roda3
Extremadura UD2
Mairena2
Real Avila0
Mancha2
Santboia1
Corralejo1
Llanes2
Tudelano8
Alfaro1
Cerceda3
Constancia1
La Muela2
Getafe B2
Futbol Club Jumilla1
Illescas1
Portugalete2
Ayamonte0
Alzira1
Reus FC Reddis2
Jerez CF2
Marino De Luanco3
Las Palmas B6
Pena3
Motril3
Haro Deportivo3
SD Noja2
Pajara Playas1
Yeclano2
Final
Almeria B1
L Hospitalet1
Coruxo FC3
La Roda1
Extremadura UD4
Mancha2
Santboia4
Tudelano3
Cerceda2
La Muela3
Getafe B3
Portugalete2
Alzira6
Jerez CF2
Las Palmas B2
Pena3
Haro Deportivo1
Yeclano2