Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Muela vs Sarinena

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Muela in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
La Muela
30%
Draws
39%
Sarinena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sarinena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • La Muela haven't matched Sarinena's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Sarinena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
La Muela Clean Sheet 18%
Sarinena Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela Sarinena
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Sarinena
4:0
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs La Muela
0:0
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Sarinena vs La Muela
2:1
Sep 7, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Sarinena
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 28 / 100
Sarinena 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela Sarinena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarinena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Muela found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sarinena has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Muela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarinena
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Muela

(Home)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 6

Sarinena

(Away)
02 Aug
Sarinena
2 : 2
UD Barbastro
13 Jun
Tamarite
3 : 0
Sarinena
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
CD Carinena
2 : 1
Sarinena
23 May
Sarinena
0 : 0
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)