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La Muela vs UD Barbastro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between La Muela and UD Barbastro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
La Muela
20%
Draws
51%
UD Barbastro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Barbastro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Barbastro come out ahead of La Muela on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and La Muela have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
UD Barbastro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela UD Barbastro
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs UD Barbastro
3:1
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Barbastro vs La Muela
2:3
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Barbastro vs La Muela
1:1
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs UD Barbastro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 32 / 100
UD Barbastro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela UD Barbastro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Barbastro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

La Muela's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: UD Barbastro conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: La Muela stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Barbastro
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Muela

(Home)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
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UD Barbastro

(Away)
20 Sept
UD Barbastro
0 : 1
Barcelona B
13 Sept
Terrassa
0 : 0
UD Barbastro
06 Sept
UD Barbastro
4 : 3
Girona B
22 Aug
Huesca
1 : 0
UD Barbastro
08 Aug
UD Barbastro
2 : 1
CE Atletic Lleida
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)