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La Muela vs UD Barbastro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Muela play UD Barbastro in the Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, La Muela averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. UD Barbastro averaged 1.22 goals scored and 0.92 conceded. In past meetings, La Muela won 3, UD Barbastro won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2010 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for La Muela and 0.74 for UD Barbastro. This points to a UD Barbastro double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
La Muela
34%
Draws
33%
UD Barbastro
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: UD Barbastro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • La Muela picked up more points recently compared to UD Barbastro.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
La Muela Clean Sheet 27%
UD Barbastro Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela UD Barbastro
Matches Played 33 37
Wins 9 13
Draws 12 14
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.92

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs UD Barbastro
3:1
Nov 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Barbastro vs La Muela
2:3
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Barbastro vs La Muela
1:1
Jan 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs UD Barbastro
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 35 / 100
UD Barbastro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela UD Barbastro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD Barbastro or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Muela attacking → ← attacking UD Barbastro

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Muela scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

UD Barbastro let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

La Muela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UD Barbastro lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Teruel38304488:2994
2La Muela38286473:2490
3Zaragoza B38273896:3384
4SD Ejea382738104:3584
5Atletico Monzon38256777:4281
6Andorra CF38254979:3879
7Sabinanigo381571653:6052
8CD Villanueva381391663:6348
9Utebo FC381391657:6448
10Valdefierro381442046:6346
11Giner Torrero381352044:7844
12Sarinena3811101736:6143
13UD Barbastro381252141:7241
14CD Tauste381162143:6139
15Atletico Calatayud389111846:5638
16CD Mallen381052337:5835
17CD Cuarte38982140:7535
18Alcaniz CF38972255:8634
19Fraga381042447:8734
20CF Jacetano38862434:7430