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La Muela vs Valdefierro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between La Muela and Valdefierro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
La Muela
15%
Draws
51%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valdefierro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • La Muela and Valdefierro have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
La Muela Clean Sheet 20%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Muela Valdefierro
Matches Played 35 36
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Valdefierro
2:0
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs La Muela
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Muela 31 / 100
Valdefierro 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Muela Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Muela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Muela scored in 69% of their last 35 games.

Valdefierro has conceded goals in 75% of their last 36 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Valdefierro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valdefierro
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Muela

(Home)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
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Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)