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Stadium Background

La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Mazzocchi J.
45' Event
Rodriguez J.
57' Event
Gorxa J.

AI Match Summary

La Nucia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
La Nucia
15%
Draws
18%
Atletico Saguntino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Nucia lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Saguntino.
  • Model gives La Nucia a 67% chance of winning this.
  • La Nucia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor La Nucia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Saguntino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Atletico Saguntino
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:0
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Atletico Saguntino vs La Nucia
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Atletico Saguntino
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzocchi J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Atletico Saguntino Compare

Top Goalscorer Palomero M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 95 / 100
Atletico Saguntino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Atletico Saguntino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: La Nucia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

La Nucia found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico Saguntino has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS Atletico Saguntino
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
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Atletico Saguntino

(Away)
27 Sept
Crevillente
2 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
23 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 4
Navalcarnero
20 Sept
Atletico Saguntino
0 : 1
Villarreal C
13 Sept
Ontinyent 1931 CF
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
09 Sept
Torrent
1 : 2
Atletico Saguntino
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Levante B 4
Villarreal C 3
Atletico Saguntino 2
La Nucia 3
Final
Levante B 1
La Nucia 2