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La Nucia vs Rayo Ibense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Garcia A.
8' Event
Nacho Porcar
32' Event
Canto S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between La Nucia and Rayo Ibense finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Nucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
La Nucia
15%
Draws
5%
Rayo Ibense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayo Ibense haven't matched La Nucia's recent run of results.
  • La Nucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors La Nucia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia Rayo Ibense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 1.52 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.39 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Rayo Ibense
4:0
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs La Nucia
0:1
Feb 3, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Rayo Ibense
2:0
Sep 16, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs La Nucia
1:1
Apr 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Rayo Ibense
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nacho Porcar
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rayo Ibense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 95 / 100
Rayo Ibense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia Rayo Ibense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Nucia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Rayo Ibense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Solid form: La Nucia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS Rayo Ibense
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
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Rayo Ibense

(Away)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)