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La Nucia vs UD Poblense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Lidon G.
84' Event
Alorda M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

La Nucia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Nucia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
La Nucia
15%
Draws
17%
UD Poblense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Nucia lately — more wins on the board than UD Poblense.
  • La Nucia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%
UD Poblense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Nucia UD Poblense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.48 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.51
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
La Nucia vs UD Poblense
1:0
Oct 9, 2024 Copa Federacion
UD Poblense vs La Nucia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Nucia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lidon G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

UD Poblense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Nucia 95 / 100
UD Poblense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Nucia UD Poblense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: La Nucia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: La Nucia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: UD Poblense has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

UD Poblense has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

La Nucia VS UD Poblense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Nucia

(Home)
04 Oct
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
La Nucia
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
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UD Poblense

(Away)
04 Oct
Baleares
2 : 1
UD Poblense
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
13 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 2
Castellonense
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
2 La Nucia 5 4 0 1 9:3 12
3 Castellonense 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
4 Alcoyano 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
5 UCAM Murcia 5 3 0 2 12:6 9
6 CF Intercity 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
7 Ciudad Cieza 5 2 2 1 7:3 8
8 Deportiva Minera 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
9 Yeclano 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Orihuela 5 2 1 2 6:11 7
11 Lorca Deportiva 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 5 1 2 2 2:4 5
13 Baleares 5 1 2 2 6:9 5
14 Valencia B 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
15 Ilicitano 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 UD Poblense 5 1 0 4 3:7 3
17 Real Murcia B 5 1 0 4 4:11 3
18 Pena Deportiva 5 0 1 4 3:8 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)