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Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Alenconnat US

France France

Coupe de France 2004/2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee play Alenconnat US in the Coupe de France 2004/2005. La Roche Vendee are favorites here. Recently, La Roche Vendee averaged 2.06 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Alenconnat US averaged 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, La Roche Vendee won 1, Alenconnat US won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 20, 2004 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for La Roche Vendee and 1.13 for Alenconnat US. This points to a La Roche Vendee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
La Roche Vendee
19%
Draws
20%
Alenconnat US
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee picked up more points recently compared to Alenconnat US.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 21%
Alenconnat US Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Alenconnat US
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 20 2
Draws 8 0
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 2.06 1
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2004 Coupe de France
La Roche Vendee vs Alenconnat US
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 59 / 100
Alenconnat US 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Alenconnat US

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick La Roche Vendee & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.3%
1.89
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Roche Vendee attacking → ← attacking Alenconnat US

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Alenconnat US let in goals in 75% of their last 4 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

La Roche Vendee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alenconnat US lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 6
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00