Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Bordeaux

France France

National 2 - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Araujo A.
82' Event
Keita I.

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee in this National 2 - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Roche Vendee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
La Roche Vendee
20%
Draws
40%
Bordeaux
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Bordeaux's 1.77.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bordeaux here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 15%
Bordeaux Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Bordeaux
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 20
Draws 8 4
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 2 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.87 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 National 1 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Bordeaux
1:0
Oct 18, 2025 National 1 - Group A
Bordeaux vs La Roche Vendee
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 National 1 - Group B
Bordeaux vs La Roche Vendee
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 National 1 - Group B
La Roche Vendee vs Bordeaux
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bordeaux Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.85

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 35 / 100
Bordeaux 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Bordeaux

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bordeaux Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: La Roche Vendee remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Bordeaux let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Bordeaux
1 Goals Scored 2.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 86%
13% Over 2.5 86%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
16 May
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 2
La Roche Vendee
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Bordeaux

(Away)
16 May
Avranches
3 : 3
Bordeaux
09 May
Bordeaux
1 : 0
Les Herbiers
02 May
Bayonne
1 : 2
Bordeaux
25 Apr
Bordeaux
4 : 1
Montlouis
18 Apr
Dinan
1 : 3
Bordeaux
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
2 Bordeaux 30 19 5 6 51:28 62
3 Bayonne 30 17 4 9 42:27 55
4 Saint-Malo 30 13 11 6 43:29 50
5 Les Herbiers 30 14 7 9 45:33 49
6 Angouleme CFC 30 11 10 9 33:36 43
7 Dinan 30 12 5 13 44:45 41
8 Avranches 30 10 10 10 46:41 40
9 Chauray 30 11 5 14 35:38 38
10 St. Colomban Locmine 30 9 10 11 31:34 37
11 Montlouis 30 7 10 13 42:50 31
12 Lorient II 30 9 5 16 38:51 31
13 Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 30 8 6 16 25:47 30
14 Granville 30 6 11 13 32:41 29
15 Saumur Olympique 30 6 10 14 37:56 28
16 Stade Poitevin 30 5 11 14 21:43 25
Promotion - Ligue 3 (Main)