Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Cannes

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Samb M.
Assist: Bensoula K.
56'
Bensoula K.
60' Event
Gerbeaud R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
La Roche Vendee
35%
Draws
21%
Cannes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Cannes haven't matched La Roche Vendee's recent run of results.
  • La Roche Vendee are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 16%
Cannes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Cannes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 17
Draws 8 8
Losses 2 4
Goals Scored 1.96 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Cannes
1:1
Jan 11, 2003 Ligue 3
Cannes vs La Roche Vendee
0:0
Aug 9, 2002 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Cannes
1:1
Mar 9, 2002 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Cannes
0:3
Sep 21, 2001 Ligue 3
Cannes vs La Roche Vendee
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cannes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 66 / 100
Cannes 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Cannes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: La Roche Vendee stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Defensive concern: Cannes conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Cannes
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
18 Jul
Le Mans
2 : 3
La Roche Vendee
16 May
St. Colomban Locmine
0 : 2
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

Cannes

(Away)
14 Aug
Cannes
1 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
07 Aug
Rouen
0 : 0
Cannes
26 Jul
Cannes
3 : 3
AS Roma
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Rodez
4 : 1
Cannes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 La Roche Vendee 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Rouen 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Caen 2 1 0 1 7:4 3
5 Villefranche 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
7 Versailles 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Bourg Peronnas 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
9 Valenciennes 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
10 Orleans 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
11 Bastia 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
12 Paris 13 Atletico 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
13 Cannes 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Fleury-Merogis 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
15 Quevilly 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Concarneau 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Amiens SC 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
18 Aubagne FC 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)