Sport Picks

Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Quevilly

France France

Ligue 3
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
12:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee host Quevilly in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. La Roche Vendee have averaged 2 scored and 0.82 conceded recently, against Quevilly's 1.03 scored and 1.34 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.56 - 0.75) back La Roche Vendee to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
La Roche Vendee
30%
Draws
27%
Quevilly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives La Roche Vendee a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 20%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Quevilly
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 2 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 58 / 100
Quevilly 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Quevilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: La Roche Vendee remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Quevilly has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Quevilly's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Quevilly
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
29 Aug
Orleans
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
20 Aug
La Roche Vendee
1 : 1
Cannes
14 Aug
Amiens SC
0 : 1
La Roche Vendee
07 Aug
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Versailles
22 Jul
Nantes
1 : 1
La Roche Vendee
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Quevilly

(Away)
29 Aug
Quevilly
2 : 1
Fleury-Merogis
20 Aug
Rouen
3 : 0
Quevilly
14 Aug
Quevilly
1 : 1
Concarneau
07 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Quevilly
31 Jul
Quevilly
2 : 0
CMS Oissel
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thionville 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Rouen 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
3 La Roche Vendee 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
4 Paris 13 Atletico 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
5 Versailles 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Cannes 4 1 3 0 4:2 6
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
8 Bastia 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
9 Orleans 4 2 0 2 5:3 6
10 Caen 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
11 Concarneau 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
12 Amiens SC 4 1 1 2 3:2 4
13 Valenciennes 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
14 Quevilly 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
15 Aubagne FC 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
16 Bourg Peronnas 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
17 Villefranche 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
18 Fleury-Merogis 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)