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Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Quevilly - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Samb M.
Penalty Missed
41' Event
Jean-Marie M.
Assist: Sarr D.
43'
Theresin V.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 3 game between La Roche Vendee and Quevilly finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
La Roche Vendee
30%
Draws
31%
Quevilly
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives La Roche Vendee a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 68%
Quevilly Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Quevilly
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 2 10
Goals Scored 1.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Ligue 3
La Roche Vendee vs Quevilly
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Beaulieu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Quevilly Compare

Top Goalscorer Jean-Marie M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 59 / 100
Quevilly 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Quevilly

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Quevilly conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: La Roche Vendee stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

La Roche Vendee VS Quevilly
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

La Roche Vendee

(Home)
15 Oct
Caen
2 : 1
La Roche Vendee
03 Oct
La Roche Vendee
3 : 1
Aubagne FC
26 Sept
Thionville
1 : 2
La Roche Vendee
19 Sept
La Roche Vendee
3 : 2
Valenciennes
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0
La Roche Vendee
Page 1 of 6

Quevilly

(Away)
17 Oct
Quevilly
3 : 2
Orleans
03 Oct
Cannes
3 : 1
Quevilly
26 Sept
Quevilly
1 : 1
Amiens SC
19 Sept
Versailles
0 : 0
Quevilly
12 Sept
Quevilly
2 : 1
Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)