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Stadium Background

La Roche Vendee vs Saumur Olympique

France France

National 2 - Group A
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

La Roche Vendee play Saumur Olympique in the National 2 - Group A. La Roche Vendee are favorites here. Recently, La Roche Vendee averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Saumur Olympique averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, La Roche Vendee won 4, Saumur Olympique won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for La Roche Vendee and 0.63 for Saumur Olympique. This points to a La Roche Vendee double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
La Roche Vendee
20%
Draws
22%
Saumur Olympique
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: La Roche Vendee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • La Roche Vendee picked up more points recently compared to Saumur Olympique.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 0.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
La Roche Vendee Clean Sheet 29%
Saumur Olympique Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric La Roche Vendee Saumur Olympique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 2.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 National 2 - Group A
La Roche Vendee vs Saumur Olympique
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 National 2 - Group A
Saumur Olympique vs La Roche Vendee
0:3
May 3, 2025 National 2 - Group B
La Roche Vendee vs Saumur Olympique
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 National 2 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs La Roche Vendee
1:0
Feb 17, 2024 National 2 - Group B
Saumur Olympique vs La Roche Vendee
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

La Roche Vendee Compare

Top Goalscorer Keita I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Renaudineau T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Saumur Olympique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

La Roche Vendee 58 / 100
Saumur Olympique 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
La Roche Vendee Saumur Olympique

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Roche Vendee Win (1)
Secondary Pick La Roche Vendee & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

La Roche Vendee attacking → ← attacking Saumur Olympique

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

La Roche Vendee scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Saumur Olympique let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

La Roche Vendee went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Saumur Olympique lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 28
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1La Roche Vendee30198361:2765
2Bordeaux30195651:2862
3Bayonne30174942:2755
4Saint-Malo301311643:2950
5Les Herbiers30147945:3349
6Angouleme CFC301110933:3643
7Dinan301251344:4541
8Avranches3010101046:4140
9Chauray301151435:3838
10St. Colomban Locmine309101131:3437
11Montlouis307101342:5031
12Lorient II30951638:5131
13Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant30861625:4730
14Granville306111332:4129
15Saumur Olympique306101437:5628
16Stade Poitevin305111421:4325